Atlético - Real Madrid: Tip, Prognosis & Odds - 05/08/2022 - SPAIN:La Liga

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Atlético - Real Madrid: Tip, Prognosis & Odds - 05/08/2022 - SPAIN:La Liga
 
This topic is currently dominating the gazettes in Spain ahead of the 9 p.m. derby, in which Real is about nothing, but Atletico is about everything. Namely the qualification for the Champions League. Fourth in the table, Atletico are just three points clear of Betis, who are fifth and host FC Barcelona on Saturday night. Sixth-placed Real Sociedad are also just five points away from Atletico, who are under a lot of pressure.
 
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The 35th matchday in La Liga ends with the "Derbi Madrileno". In other words, Atlético Madrid welcomes city rivals Real Madrid. Or also: The champion of the last, welcomes the champion of the current season.
 
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The Colchoneros didn't manage to defend the title, all in all the season was too inconsistent for that. For the Rojiblancos, it's all about getting into the premier class. Things are looking good at the moment, but the qualification is far from over, as they are only three points ahead of fifth in the table with four games to go. Accordingly, Atlético can no longer afford to make any mistakes.
 
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As I said, Real is already the champion and was able to sensationally make it into the final of the premier class during the week. In a dramatic game, they prevailed in extra time and ultimately won 3-1 against Man City. Find out who we think will win the "Derbi madrileno” in this Atlético – Real Madrid tip.
 
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 This topic is currently dominating the gazettes in Spain before the derby (9 p.m.), in which Real is not about anything, but Atletico is about everything. Namely the qualification for the Champions League. Fourth in the table, Atletico are just three points clear of Betis, who are fifth and host FC Barcelona on Saturday night. Sixth-placed Real Sociedad are also just five points away from Atletico, who are under a lot of pressure.
 
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Atlético: form & record check
 
Rarely has the chance of defending the title been as great as it has been for Atleti this year. Barca was not a serious championship contender due to the upheaval in the summer, and Real also had a few departures. In the end, however, the city rivals were too good and their own performance too inconsistent. Above all, defensively, Atlético was far from what they showed last season. Nationally, they are only in midfield in the defensive table. In addition, Atlético could only reach the quarter-finals in the Champions League. In the last few weeks it's all about perfecting participation in the most attractive competition in Europe.
 
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It's been a long time since Atlético's big talent has come out of the forge, primarily veterans or former players have been bought. This strategy worked wonderfully last season, but this year the newcomers were not really convincing. Griezmann, for example, seems to have passed the peak of his career and hardly emits a goal threat anymore. Luis Suárez is also not as strong as last year and there was a lack of a player who could make the difference in attack.
 
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Atlético: Facts & Analysis
 
  • 11 clubs in the league have conceded fewer goals than Atlético
  • At home a point average of 2.18
  • Only 15 of the 41 goals conceded at home
 
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Atletico's form is not good at the moment, so the Simeone team is worried about participating in the CL. The fact that you have to face Real, who are bursting with self-confidence, in the derby right now is not necessarily good news. In three of the last four games, Atletico have disappointed across the board, not scoring and losing two of those games. The 2-0 loss at Athletic Bilbao last Saturday was once again a disappointment, but away games at San Mames are also extremely difficult. Much more disappointing - because more surprising - were the 0-1 in Mallorca and the 0-0 in the home game against Granada, two relegation candidates against whom three points were actually an absolute must.
 
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With a view to the current form, there is not much to say at first glance in favor of giving a tip on the home win at Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid – precisely because Real Madrid travels to the Wanda Metropolitano euphoric.
 
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Real Madrid: Form & Record Check
 
Hardly anyone would have thought before this season that it would be so successful for the royal team. The departures of some stars and club legends such as Sergio Ramos or Rafael Varane were not replaced on an equal footing, at least apparently, and the decision was made not to sign any other central defender apart from David Alaba. But the team played confidently right from the start and, above all, the team consisting of Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema, which was almost considered a failure last season, really turned up the heat. The two were largely responsible for the success in attack. In addition, the veterans around Kroos and Modric also did really well this season.
 
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Of course, the next championship title tastes particularly good, but the absolute highlight of the current season is the performance in the premier class. Because that's where Real are sensationally in the final after knocking Paris, Chelsea and Man City out of the competition. Every knockout round was pure drama and it was either overtime or you were chasing a significant deficit. Only on Wednesday did the team seem like the sure losers against the Skyblues, but thanks to a brace from Rodrygo in the 90th and 91st minute they contest on 28.05. the final of the Champions League in Paris.
 
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Real Madrid: Facts & Analysis
  • Most goals in the league
  • Benzema and Vinicius Junior responsible for 40 of the 73 goals this season
  • Won 9 of their last 10 league games
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Surprisingly, Real Madrid are the clear underdogs. If you tip Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid that the newly crowned champion will win, you will find odds of 3.60 on average. This is quite surprising at this level and of course also offers an interesting opportunity.
 
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Because Real feels very comfortable against Atletico: As mentioned, the last derby defeat for Real in the league was in the 2015/16 season. Real Madrid have been unbeaten in La Liga for 11 derby games. In five of their last seven league games, Atletico have not even scored a goal. In all competitions, there are eight games without defeat from Real's point of view, because Atleti won 4-2 after extra time in the 2018/19 UEFA Supercup. In view of these numbers, Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid is not far from the forecast for another guest win.
 
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Estimated line-up of Real Madrid:
 
Courtois - Carvajal, Militao, Fernandez, Mendy - Casemiro, Kroos, Modric - Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius Jr.
 
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Atlético – Real Madrid: direct comparison & statistics
 
It is one of the most traditional duels in Spain and the two have already met 169 times in the league. The entire comparison clearly goes to Real, with 90 to 39 wins.
 
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Real won the first leg 2-0
Atlético have not won the "Derbi madrileno" for 10 games
Atleti have yet to beat Real at the Wanda Metropolitano
 
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Betting base prediction tip: Atletico Madrid & Real Madrid
 
A look at Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid at Real's odds is therefore surprising and offers resourceful tipsters an interesting opportunity. The pressure in this game is clearly on Atletico's side - that can spur or paralyze. Meanwhile, Real can play completely free, the newly crowned champion and Champions League finalist has plenty of self-confidence anyway.
 
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Sporting explosiveness is given anyway, the Pasillo theme can heat up the Derby Madrileño a little more in advance - or at least the audience in the Wanda Metropolitano and the Atleticos team, which can definitely use an emotional boost. After all, three points should be scored again, otherwise not only Betis can draw level on points, but sixth-placed Real Sociedad (visiting Levante) could otherwise come very close.
 
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It's hard for us to imagine another Atletico derby defeat as the Rojiblancos will be on fire and Real Madrid simply don't have to give their all. But in view of the wave of euphoria that Real is swimming on, an Atletico threesome is not on our tip sheet either. Therefore, our prediction for Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid is: draw.
 
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Expected line-up of Atletico Madrid:
 
Oblak - Gimenez, Hermoso, Reinildo - Llorente, Kondogbia, Koke, De Paul, Carrasco - Griezmann, Correa
 
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