Benfica Lisbon - Bavaria: Tips, prognosis & odds - 20.10.2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Group stage
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Benfica Lisbon - Bavaria: Tips, prognosis & odds - 20.10.2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Group stage
Will FC Bayern also have a strong first half against Benfica Lisbon?
For FC Bayern Munich, things couldn't have gone better on the first two Champions League match days. The 2019/2020 winner won the first legs against FC Barcelona and Dynamo Kiev clearly and with zero. On Wednesday, October 20th, 2021 at 9:00 p.m., FCB will meet Benfica Lisbon. The hosts from Portugal haven't conceded a goal in the group stage either and are in second place. However, he is clearly an outsider against the German record champions. We predict that Bayern will lead at half-time, just as they did last against Bayer Leverkusen.
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Benfica Lisbon
- No goal conceded in the Champions League yet
- usually fails at the group stage of the premier class
- last in the league a 0-1 home defeat against Portimonense
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FC Bayern Munich
- won the 1st half in both group matches
- most recently against Leverkusen already at half-time with 5-0
- keep a "clean slate" for both group games
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Things are going just as well in the Portuguese league for Benfica Lisbon. The "eagles" can be found there at the top of the table, but where they only have a lead of one point over FC Porto. In the local Estádio da Luz, the "Encarnados" are actually hard to beat. Most recently they lost there in the league but with 0: 1 against Portimonense SC. Last weekend they had problems in the cup against the lower class CD Trofense. The "Aguias" had to go into extra time, but then they were able to prevail with 2: 1.
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Benfica Lisbon did not perform well twice in a row
As the Portuguese record champions, Benfica Lisbon is regularly represented in the Champions League. Most of the time, the club was eliminated there in the group stage, as was the case when they last participated in 2019/2020. In the past season, the "Encarnados" only took part in the Europa League because they did not successfully qualify for the premier class. However, they succeeded this year. Then they were drawn into a group with FC Bayern Munich, FC Barcelona and Dynamo Kiev. After the team of coach Jorge Jesus failed to get beyond a goalless draw in the first group game against Dynamo Kiev, they beat FC Barcelona 3-0 at home in the second game. Due to this somewhat surprising success, the "Aguias" are in second place and have a lead of 3 points over third-placed Dynamo Kiev.
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Manuel Neuer will receive appropriate support from world footballer Robert Lewandowski. No player has scored more goals against Portuguese clubs in the Champions League than the Pole. Because he has basically been playing unearthly for years, we can well imagine that the center forward will be successful again on Wednesday in the Portuguese capital.
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Direct comparison Benfica Lisbon vs. Bayern Munich
The two clubs met in the Champions League in 2016 and 2018. FC Bayern Munich was able to make 3 of the 4 duels within this period victorious, one game ended in a draw. In 2 of the 3 victories, the southern Germans kept a "white vest".
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In the premier class, FC Bayern has so far dominated
FC Bayern Munich has won the European Champion's Cup three times and the Champions League three times. This makes the club from the south of Germany one of the most successful clubs in Europe. Most recently, he won the handlebar under coach Hansi Flick in the 2019/2020 season. He is now national coach and Julian Nagelsmann is his successor. Bayern got off to a good start this season with Nagelsmann. You are in pole position in the 1st Bundesliga and also lead the Champions League Group E. On the 1st matchday of the premier class, FCB immediately set an exclamation point and won 3-0 at FC Barcelona. The German record champions had an even easier game in the following group game against Dynamo Kiev. At home against the Ukrainian representative, the South Germans celebrated a 5-0 victory. Center forward Robert Lewandowski scored a total of 4 times within these two games.
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In both previous group games in the Champions League, FC Bayern won the first half. This was also the case in the last league game at Bayer Leverkusen. There the southern Germans delivered the best 1st round in a long time. After 37 minutes they were already leading 5-0. The end result was 5: 1. Often the FCB won to zero this season. That applied to 2 league games as well as the two previous games in the premier class. Next Wednesday, the team of coach Julian Nagelsmann will visit Benfica Lisbon. Bayern were all able to make their last 6 guest appearances victorious.
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Betting tip and forecast
Our favorite tip for the upcoming match in Champions League Group E between Benfica Lisbon and FC Bayern Munich is a half-time lead for the 2019/2020 winner. He won the first round in both group games and already 5 times in the Bundesliga. We estimate the risk of betting that the southern Germans to zero in Portugal is slightly higher. The Benfica offensive did not make the most dangerous impression recently. The "Aguias" lost their last league game at home against Portimonense SC 1-0 and only won last weekend in extra time against the lower class CD Trofense.
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Buckling of shape in the eagles
Overall, Benfica has only lost one of 15 competitive games this season. However, things are not going well around the last international break. First there was a sensational league defeat against Portimonense at home, before they only prevailed in extra time in the trophy at Trofense.
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Everton brought Jorge Jesus' team into a 1-0 lead after 20 minutes. In the 80th minute, however, the second division equalized to 1: 1. Only in extra time did Andre Almeida score the 2-1 winner for the Adler. If the Portuguese show themselves in such a form on Wednesday, then you should possibly check the odds for a handicap win for the German champions between Benfica Lisbon and Bayern Munich.
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There will be numerous changes in terms of personnel compared to the narrow victory in the cup. In construction, one would say that hardly one stone is left on the other. Seven to eight changes are to be expected. Among other things, Julian Weigl should slip into the starting line-up. Only the two former Bundesliga players Haris Seferovic and Valentino Lazaro should not be part of the game.
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Expected formation of Benfica:
Vlachodimos - Otamendi, Vertonghen, Verissimo - Weigl - Grimaldo, Rafa Silva, Joao Mario, Pizzi - Yaremchuk, Nunez - Trainer: Jesus
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Bavarian foreign power
In the last 19 away games in the Champions League, the German record champions have not lost any more (15 wins, four draws). Bayern have been undefeated away from home in this competition for over four years. Against this background, in the duel between Benfica Lisbon and Bayern, we can't avoid predicting the guests' success.
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Bayern allowed themselves a tiny phase of weakness before the international matches and lost to Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. But there was another gala in the top game at Bayer Leverkusen over the weekend. Already at the break it was 5-0 after goals from Robert Lewandowski (2), Serge Gnabry (2) and Thomas Müller. The Werkself only managed to make a cosmetic result in the second section to make it 5-1 for FCB.
There is a lot of guesswork when it comes to the lineup, especially around Lucas Hernandez. The Frenchman may have to serve a prison sentence in Spain. On Wednesday, however, he should probably be in the starting line-up for Dayot Upamecano. Marc Roca, Corentin Tolisso and substitute keeper Sven Ulreich are certainly not part of the game.
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Expected formation of Bavaria:
Neuer - Pavard, Süle, Hernandez, Davies - Kimmich, Goretzka - Gnabry, Müller, Sane - Lewandowski - Trainer: Nagelsmann
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Benfica - Bayern direct comparison
When you are national champions so often, it is almost inevitable that you run into each other in the European Cup and in the Champions League. Overall, Benfica Lisbon and Bayern Munich faced each other in ten games. The Portuguese did not achieve a single victory.
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Bayern were successful seven times, three times they parted with a draw. It is exciting that in three out of five years, after playing against Benfica, Munich was in the final of the competition. The last duels took place in the 2018/19 season. In the group stage of the premier class, Munich won 2-0 in Lisbon and even won 5-1 at home.
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Betting base forecast & Portugal Benfica - Bayern Germany tip
Benfica Lisbon is a hot candidate for the round of 16 after the weaknesses that Barcelona show. Bayern should be a size too big. The Portuguese have never won ten direct duels against the German record champions. We therefore do not assume that the Eagles will celebrate a victory on Wednesday.
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In addition, Munich has not lost an away game in the premier class for four years and has 15 wins and four draws from 19 games. That sounds more than clearly as if a tip on a victory for the guests would be the best choice in this group game between Benfica Lisbon and Bayern Munich.
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With a success in Portugal, Munich would almost be in the round of 16. Julian Nagelsmann will not want to miss this chance and Robert Lewandowski will do everything in his power to improve his goal against Portuguese clubs. That is why in the duel between Benfica Lisbon and Bayern we are playing the betting odds on a handicap win (-1.5) for the Germans.
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