Chelsea vs. Real Madrid: Tips, prognosis & odds 05/05/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs Free soccer tips
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Chelsea - Real Madrid: tips, prognosis and odds - EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs
Four German coaches were still represented in the quarter-finals of this year's UEFA Champions League, but there is only one in the semi-finals - Thomas Tuchel. Tuchel could reach his second final in the premier class in a row.
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After the title dream with PSG burst last year, he now wants to get the handlebar pot with the Blues. First of all, however, the last hurdle on the way to the Ataturk Stadium in Istanbul has to be overcome. Chelsea and Real Madrid face each other at 9 p.m. on Wednesday evening.
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The hosts from the English capital have a double advantage in the second leg. On the one hand the home advantage at Stamford Bridge, on the other hand the result from last week's first leg. After the 1-1 draw, Los Blancos are under pressure and have to score at least one goal to keep the final dream alive.
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Since the Tuchel takeover, Chelsea has clearly stabilized defensively and is therefore a favorite with the best bookmakers. On the three-way market between Chelsea and Real Madrid betting odds are offered at 2.30 for the home win.
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In "To-Qualify” there is not even a 1.60 for the Londoners to reach the finals. Can Chelsea confirm this role as a favorite? Or will Los Blancos be able to show their top form again in the Champions League?
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Direct comparison / H2H
The Blues from London and the Los Blancos from Madrid have been at the top of European football for many years, yet the database only contains four games - and the first three have no relevance for the game this week.
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In 1970/71, Chelsea prevailed against the Spaniards in the final of the Cup Winners' Cup, at that time the final was still decided in a two-way leg. In 1998 the Blues celebrated a narrow 1-0 win over Los Blancos in the insignificant Supercup.
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Chelsea stats & current form
For the first time since 2014, the Blues are back in the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions League and, after their strong performance in the first leg, have a great chance of reaching the most important final at club level. Around the turn of the year, hardly anyone would have thought it possible that the Londoners could still dream of a big coup this season. After the dismissal of club legend Frank Lampard, the form curve is clearly pointing upwards.
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Four goals conceded in the premier class
Nationally, Chelsea disappointed a number of times in the autumn, but internationally, the team has been in strong shape since the beginning of the season. In the previous CL season, the Blues Defensive had to accept just four goals in eleven Champions League games, and there was no more than one goal in any game.
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This strong defense is one of the biggest pluses for the Tuchel protégés to reach the finals. A look at the statistics shows how strong the blues defense has been since the German arrived. In 23 competitive games, Chelsea conceded just ten goals. These statistics are made even more impressive by the fact that five of these ten goals were conceded in the surprising 2: 5 bankruptcy against West Bromwich Albion.
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Thomas Tuchel made Chelsea a bank when it comes to betting on the under 2.5. This was the case in 20 of the 23 competitive games, which is why the betting base odds comparison at Chelsea vs. Real Madrid provides odds of under 1.70 for this tip.
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Havertz becomes the match winner
Between the two games against Los Blancos, the derby against Fulham in the league was on the program. Thanks to the outstanding ex-Leverkusen player Kai Havertz (double pack), the Blues secured a 2-0 home win. A big point for Chelsea in the fight for another Champions League qualification. In the current Premier League table, Chelsea still ranks fourth.
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After the gala performance of Havertz, the 21-year-old compatriot Timo Werner will probably oust the bench in the second leg. Otherwise Chelsea will start with the same team as last week.
Expected formation of Chelsea:
Mendy - Rüdiger, Christensen, Silva - Chilwell, Jorginho, Kante, Azpilicueta - Pulisic, Mount - Havertz
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Real Madrid stats & current form
Los Blancos from Madrid even have two intact title chances in the season finale. It wasn't long ago at Real Madrid when everyone was talking about a messed up season and Zinedine Zidane's standing was no longer a good one. In many places there was speculation about a transfer, nothing more can be read / heard of this in May 2021.
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The accusation that Real Madrid is tactically too one-dimensional is also no longer relevant. Los Blancos are tactically more difficult to calculate and can completely change the game in no time at all. Back four? Chain of three? Neither problem - Real has the necessary players for this.
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For 19 games without loss
The last defeat for the Spanish top club was on January 30th, when Los Blancos lost 2-1 at UD Levante at home. Since this fall, one point has been won after the next.
There have been 13 wins and six draws in the last three months. Four laps before the end of the Spanish championship, they are only two points behind city rivals Atletico Madrid. Due to the direct comparison gained, Real would again be Spanish champions if there were a tie.
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This streak of success is impressive due to the fact that Real Madrid have struggled with major personnel problems in recent weeks. Again and again Zidane had to switch and pretend important players. Sergio Ramos, Dani Carvajal and Lucas Vazquez are also out of the Champions League second leg. The veteran Marcelo arrives later, as he was chosen as an election worker in Madrid and still has to fulfill his civil duties on Tuesday.
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14. CL semifinals for the Madrilenians
The semi-finals this season is the 14th participation in the round of the last four for Los Blancos - this makes the Madrilenians the sole record holder, while FC Bayern and Barcelona are in second place with twelve participations each.
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Between 2010/11 and 2017/18, the Spaniards were particularly impressive when they reached the semi-finals eight times in a row. After a two-year break, the time has come again and the statistics that Real Madrid have won the title in the last three semi-finals are a glimmer of hope.
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However, Real Madrid only won two of the nine knockout matches in which there was a draw in the first leg at home (against Manchester United in 1999/2000 and 2012/13). A 1-1 draw including extra time, every higher draw or an away win will promote the Zizou-Elf to the final. For the away win in the game Chelsea vs. Real Madrid, odds of up to 3.45 are offered.
Expected formation of Real Madrid:
Courtois - Militao, Fernandez, Varane - Marcelo, Casemiro, Modric, Kroos, Carvajal - Vinicius Junior, Benzema
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Bet base forecast & Chelsea - Real Madrid Spain tip
In the first leg last week, Chelsea started like a robbery and took the game at the beginning. Nevertheless, as the game continued, more "lawn chess” than "football spectacle” developed. A similar scenario can be expected in the second leg on Wednesday.
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Due to the importance of this game, both teams will be careful to minimize the risk and thus the prognosis of another under 2.5 for Chelsea vs. Real Madrid is absolutely obvious.
Both teams have enough confidence in their own quality after their latest performance and results. It will probably be a duel at eye level, in which no real favorite can be determined.
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Quite interesting, however, is the forecast of another draw in the Champions League second leg between Chelsea and Real Madrid. A goalless draw is just as conceivable as another 1: 1. In particular, with this score in the final phase, both teams would probably manage rather than force the decision. Moderate four units are recommended.
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