Holland - Northern Ireland 10.10.2019 Free soccer tips
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The Dutch receive the Northern Irish for the league leaders in the group!
In Group C of the European Championship qualification, it is a highly competitive three-way battle for the championship lead. At the moment Germany is leading the group on equal points with Northern Ireland, with one game less Netherlands is only 3 points behind. It could therefore be a pre-decisive duel for participation in the EM 2020. The Dutch are of course the clear favorites, Northern Ireland will focus on its stable defensive and hope for a lucky punch. How much the two teams differ from each other and who has the better chances, you see in our analysis of the game. The kick-off is on Thursday at 20:45.
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Holland
Won 3 out of 4 games
scored at least 2 goals in each game
higher quality in the squad
Northern Ireland
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4 out of 5 games won
only 4 goals conceded
clear outsider
Are the Dutchmen moving in the table?
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The Dutch national team has undergone a generational change in recent months. After failing in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, much changed in the country and the squad is now among the youngest in the entire qualifier. International Topstars like Frenkie de Jong, Memphis Depay or Virgil van Dijk are back. Ronald Koeman took over as Bond Coach in February of last year and since then has completed 16 games with his team. He has a point average of 1.75 points per game and had to allow only 4 defeats.
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The goal difference since his inauguration is 33:16 goals. In the UEFA Nations League one could prevail in a group with world champions France and Germany and reached the 1st place. But in the final they had to defeat Portugal 1-0. Nevertheless, it shows the positive development of the team. In the European Championship qualifier you will occupy 3rd place in the table after 4 games. 3 of 4 games were won and only the home game against Germany was lost 2: 3. On the last day of the match, however, they were able to celebrate the revenge and triumphed in Germany 2-4.
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The Netherlands scored at least 2 goals in each of the 4 games, and they were without conceding twice. The quality of the Dutch is of course many times higher than that of the Northern Irish. In addition, they could jump with a win to number 1 in the table. In contrast to many other national teams, they can also draw on their entire squad and hardly a major player falls out due to injury.
Hour of Truth for the Northern Irish!
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Northern Ireland is currently ranked 33rd in the FIFA World Ranking, but is still battling with Germany and the Netherlands to qualify for the European Championship in 2020. Until 2016, Northern Ireland has never played in a European Championship. But 3 years ago they reached a final tournament for the first time and made it there immediately in the knockout stage. However, this was only a short success and for the 2018 World Cup you had to stay home again. The team has hardly any international top stars and usually comes through their very orderly defensive. This is also noticeable in this qualification and Northern Ireland is the defensive team in Group C with only 4 goals conceded.
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4 of their 5 games they have so far won, but it must be said that they these 4 wins against clearly outnumbered opponents from Estonia and Belarus. The first meeting with Germany ended already with a 0: 2 defeat. With only 7 goals clearly the offensive is the big problem, but this will only show up in the next games if they have to compete against Top Team. In any case, the record against the Netherlands is not very good and only one victory was achieved in six games. However, this is already over 50 years ago and the last halfway relevant clash was in 2012. At that time you lost clearly and clearly with 6: 0. In general, you could not score in 4 of these 6 duels.
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Bet Tip and Forecast
The Dutch play a very good season and were able to defeat the Germans in the last race, and they have the much higher quality in the squad. Therefore, despite a good qualification of the Northern Irish we think of a victory of the Dutch. However, the odds are not that high, which is why we would recommend a tip of 1 win to zero due to Northern Ireland's weak offensive. Also a handicap tip is here a quite possible variant.
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The Netherlands plays an international match against Northern Ireland on Thursday-evening, which has so far collected a surprising number of points. The Dutch are of course supposed to win this game.
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Netherlands:
In Group C of the qualification series, the Netherlands is currently doing very well. That has a lot to do with the great 2-4 win that the Ronald Koeman team booked last month. Competitor Germany was convincingly defeated in Hamburg by the Dutch national team. With a relatively simple remaining program, Orange has a good prospect of first place in the group.
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Last month’s matches will have strengthened Koeman’s idea that his team is not that far away from the absolute top, or even part of it. Some of the selection players are also getting better at their clubs, which the Dutch team will also help. The development of Frenkie de Jong at FC Barcelona is the best example of this. The question is to whom De Jong will be linked in midfield on Thursday. Now that Donny van de Beek is playing a little further back in midfield at his club Ajax, he is a possible replacement for Marten de Roon. Georginio Wijnaldum seems certain of a basic place Koeman indicated that his team is not fixed in all positions, but at the same time he does not want to change things in many positions.
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Northern Ireland:
Northern Ireland was one of the 24 participants in the previous European Championship. The British even managed to survive the group stage, although this had a lot to do with the generous placement rules. No fewer than sixteen of the 24 teams were allowed to participate in the knockout phase. In the eighth final, Germany turned out to be too strong. In this European Championship qualifying round, the country started flashing, with twelve points from four duels. This was not a realistic picture, because there was no play against Germany and the Netherlands.
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Northern Ireland met Germany last month. In Belfast, Northern Ireland was able to come along reasonably for half a time, but in the end the big difference in strength between the two selections was expressed in the score. There was a 0-2 loss at Windsor Park. Probably it will not have been the last defeat in this group for the team of coach Michael O’Neill, who has to deal with some injured players.
Netherlands vs Northern Ireland head to head matches
02.06.12 FI Netherlands Northern Ireland 6 : 0
11.10.77 WC Northern Ireland Netherlands 0 : 1
12.10.76 WC Netherlands Northern Ireland 2 : 2
06.04.65 WC Netherlands Northern Ireland 0 : 0
16.03.65 WC Northern Ireland Netherlands 2 : 1
Whenever the Dutch national football team hosts their home games in the legendary Rotterdam De Kuip, big and magical football nights are inevitable. In the port city in the west of the country won the Elftal last 14 games in series, including on November 16, 2018, the match in the Nations League against the newly crowned champion France (2: 0).
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It's all the more important that the series be expanded, as Oranje currently occupy only third place in Group B of the UEFA European Championship qualifying campaign, but with a victory over Northern Ireland they could take the starting grid of the Green and White Army, who still have three with one match advantage Counter in front of the Dutch.
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It is Holland against Northern Ireland in the odds of bookmakers the crystal clear favorite in this encounter, although it should not be ignored that at the hitherto last European Championship just not the Elftal, but "Norn Iron" was allowed to participate.
In fact, since their third place finish at the 2014 World Cup, the Dutch have missed out on the successful qualifying campaign for a European Championship and World Cup final two times in a row, which is definitely a factor in Holland vs. Northern Ireland's forecast.
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So Oranje would stand in a different result from a home win at De Kuip clear with his back to the wall and would even hope for contact support from Germany, which lead the group tied with Northern Ireland because of the better goal difference and also play at home against the Green and White Army have to.
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Although we consider the Dutch victory more likely, we believe that the Northern Irish defensive, which is traditionally good, can make life difficult for the Elftal. We hold against Holland in the Netherlands a tip that the troop of Michael O'Neill loses with a maximum of one goal difference (AHC +1.5) for the most sustainable.
Holland - Statistics & Current Form
Dutch football is undoubtedly experiencing a renaissance these days. For years, if not decades, virtually no Dutch team played a role on an international basis before Ajax Amsterdam, with a squad of Dutch talents in the spring of 2019, stirred up the Champions League and barely missed the final.
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In addition, there is an Elftal, which won in the Nations League - low prestige or not - the triple with World Champion France and predecessor Germany and moved into the "Final Four". After two missed finals (European Championship 2016 and World Cup 2018) Oranje is back on track with their 4-2 win over Germany in Group C a month ago.
"I think we have a wave of talent at the moment that is the reason for the upswing. We also invest more in training and fitness and work more than a few years ago. We had to learn painfully that this is not only possible but necessary. "
Ronald Koeman at De Telegraaf
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A home win in Rotterdam, where in De Kuip most recently 14 consecutive matches could be won in a row and the Dutch national football team would promptly on a standings that would entitle to participate in the EURO 2020.
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Holland is against Northern Ireland, according to odds of bookmakers for this home win of the house-high favorite. Although the guests of the island only lost their home game against Germany and could win the remaining four competitive games in Group C, the Elftal under Ronald Koeman these days seems to be just too overpowering.
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The success coach sees this as a reason for the upturn that the Netherlands currently has a very large number of young talents available. It's a squad that has not been around for a long time. In addition, almost all the cornerstones of major European teams are already under contract and are top performers there. Be it a Virgil van Dijk at Liverpool FC, a Frenkie de Jong at FC Barcelona or a Matthijs de Ligt at Juventus.
Because in addition the mixture of an intact defense, a committed defensive work, but also a fast and fast-paced Umschaltspiel currently works so well and also the morale is right - in Germany came Oranje even after 0: 1 deficit and the interim 2: 2- Compensation of the team back again - have not a few experts, the Elftal in terms of the EURO 2020 even as a secret favorite on the slip.
Expected formation of Holland:
Cillesses - Blind - van Dijk - de Ligt - de Jong - de Roon - Promes - Wijnaldum - Dumfries - Depay - Babel
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Last Games from Holland:
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09.09.2019 - Estonia vs. Holland 0: 4 (European Championship Qualification)
06.09.2019 - Germany vs. Germany Holland 2: 4 (European Championship Qualification)
09.06.2019 - Portugal vs. Holland 1: 0 (Nations League)
06.06.2019 - Holland vs. Germany England 3: 1 (Nations League)
24.03.2019 - Holland vs. Germany 2: 3
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Northern Ireland - Statistics & Current Form
For the first time ever in the history of the country, Northern Ireland was able to successfully qualify for a European Championship at the 2016 European Championships in France, as the trip went even in the last sixteen and beyond the preliminary round. Thus, the Green and White Army has impressively underlined that it does not belong to cannon fodder in Europe, but can effectively keep up.
All the more important that this position is underlined now, because after it in the World Cup qualifying in 2018 in the group with Germany, after all, at the end of the second place, missed "Norn Iron" conceivable just in the play-offs against Switzerland, the first World Cup Participation for 32 years.
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"Holland already sees itself as a team capable of winning the European Championship, but they forget they have to qualify first. They missed the last two finals, which increases the pressure on them. "
Michael O'Neill at Belfast Telegraph
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However, they have not disappeared from the scene for a long time. On the contrary! After five out of eight qualifying matches in Group C, the Northern Ireland national football team is in second place. The more relentless the defensive strong team wants to defend this place to the end.
That this will be tough, should be clear to all parties. Not only does Michael O'Neill have to do without short-term left-back Jamal Lewis (Norwich City), who had to leave with a knee injury the day before the final training session, but the remainder of the last three days could not be tougher. Northern Ireland play away in the Netherlands and Germany and have in between the home game against the Elftal.
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It is clear that four points should be enough to wrap up the second European Championship in a row. The goal difference could be very important, however, especially in direct comparison with Germany and / or Holland, which is why we assume that the Green and White Army defends disciplined even with a backlog and lurking for standards, instead of blindly driving and with an open visor and waving flags in Rotterdam.
Accordingly, we keep Holland against Northern Ireland a tip to good odds on the fact that, if not a point win, then at least a defeat with a maximum of one goal difference will give.
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Expected deployment of Northern Ireland:
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Peacock-Farrell - McLaughlin - J. Evans - Cathcart - Dallas - Saville - Davis - McNair - McGinn - C. Evans - Lafferty
Last matches of Northern Ireland:
09.09.2019 - Northern Ireland vs. Germany 0: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
05.09.2019 - Northern Ireland vs. Luxembourg 1: 0 (International Friendlies)
11.06.2019 - Belarus vs. Belarus Northern Ireland 0: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
08.06.2019 - Estonia vs. Northern Ireland 1: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
24.03.2019 - Northern Ireland vs. Belarus 2: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
Holland vs. Northern Ireland Direct Comparison
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Head to head: 3 - 2 - 1
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A total of six clashes have been between the Dutch and the Northern Ireland national football team so far and with three games won the Elftal leads the resulting "head to head" comparison clearly. In two draws, the Green and White Army brings it to a single victory against Oranje. This was a 2-1 win in Belfast in March 1965.
After all, in the only duel yet in De Kuip - in 1976 - both teams parted with a 2-2 draw that would definitely help the Northern Irish in this seventh clash. But: in the last match in a friendly in Amsterdam on June 2, 2012 - the then only second international under Michael O'Neill - came Northern Ireland against the Netherlands with 0: 6 under the wheels .
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Holland vs Northern Ireland Tipp & Prognosis - 10.10.2019
Nevertheless, in the case of Holland against Northern Ireland, the aforementioned 0: 6 in Amsterdam plays no role in the last encounter so far. Too much has since moved, especially with "Norn Iron" and changed for the better. So it was the Northern Irishmen, who were allowed to participate in the European Championships in 2016, while Oranje was there to watch as well as at the 2018 World Cup.
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This is an aspect that is likely to put immense pressure on the third-placed, who made 14 victories in a row at home in Rotterdam, but who clearly have an obligation. That could even potentiate if the Northern Irish defend their usual disciplined and survive the first storm phases of the Dutch without damage.
Key Facts - Holland vs. Northern Ireland tip
Holland last missed both the European Championship 2016 and the 2018 World Cup
Northern Ireland would defend second place with a point win
Holland has won the last 14 internationals in de Kuip
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Unless Oranje has a dream start with an early goal, we think it's best to give Holland a tip against Northern Ireland, as they will lose with a maximum of one goal difference.
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This also includes a point win, which would be too surprising, as that much value exists, which, however, given the chronology of failure in qualifying rounds of the Elftal can not be categorically excluded.
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For the Asian Handicap with +1.5 to the Green and White Army, Holland vs. Northern Ireland have betting odds of up to 2.55, which we allude to with three units.
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