Mauritania vs. Gambia: tips, prognosis & odds -12.01.2022 - AFRICA: Africa Cup 2022
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Mauritania vs. Gambia: tips, prognosis & odds -12.01.2022 - AFRICA: Africa Cup 2022
The mode of the Africa Cup is now identical to that of the European Championships. 24 teams fight for the continental title. The difference in quality among the participants is sometimes blatant and several no-name teams are also represented at the 33rd finals in Cameroon. The last game on the first day of the match concerns two teams who will probably not have much to do with the outcome of the tournament.
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For Mauritania, it will be the second Africa Cup participation in history after 2019, while Gambia will compete in a final round for the first time in the association's history on Wednesday. In addition to these two teams, group F also includes the significantly higher rated teams from Tunisia and Mali. This prelude is accordingly explosive and could possibly be decisive in the battle for third place. The bookmakers expect a duel at eye level and offered almost even odds on all three options in Mauritania against Gambia.
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Mauritania - statistics & current form
The country in northwest Africa has a population of just under four million. Football has not played too big a role so far and the national team has rarely been able to draw attention to itself. Only since the 1990s has the Federation de Football de la Republique Islamique de Mauritanie regularly participated in qualifying tournaments. In their debut in Egypt in 2019, the national team also met Mali and Tunisia, as well as Angola. With two goalless draws and one defeat (1: 4 against Mali) came the premature end for the underdog.
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Without a win in the World Cup qualification
Mauritania mastered the qualification for the current Africa Cup in a group with Burundi and the Central African Republic, behind Morocco the team took second place and fixed the second participation in the finals. The most recent appearances in the World Cup qualification were far less successful. Mauritania had to bury any dreams early on. Without a single win, the end was certain after six group games.
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Once again, the big problem in the game of Mauritania became apparent - the offensive is practically non-existent. In the six World Cup qualifiers, there were only two own goals to celebrate. Goals are quite rare and in this respect, the prognosis between Mauritania and Gambia is that both teams will not score.
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Expected formation of Mauritania:
Diop - Abeid, Ba, Houbeib, Karamokko - Moussa N’Diaye, A. Thiam - Camara, Ba, I. Thiam - Doukara
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Gambia - statistics & current form
The significantly higher squad value of the Scorpions of head coach Tom Saintfiet has already been mentioned above. This is particularly due to some Italy legionnaires. With Musa Barrow (strike partner of Marko Arnautovic near Bologna), Ebrima Colley (Spezia Calcio) or Omar Colley (Sampdoria Genua) there are some players who can assert themselves at a high international level.
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The future prospects for the Scorpions are quite bright, because a large number of the players are still very young. It can hardly go any worse than the past, because so far successes have been an absolute rarity. The dream of participating in the World Cup in Qatar in 2022 broke in the first qualifying round when Gambia had to admit defeat in the knockout duel with Angola due to two defeats.
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The qualification for the current Africa Cup was the first big success of the senior national team. Even before Gabon, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, the current number 150 in the FIFA world rankings qualified for the continental championships. FC Zurich player Assan Ceesay (eleven goals in Switzerland) ensured a successful revenge against Angola and secured his participation in the Africa Cup with his winning goal at the end of March.
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Ideal preparation for the biggest event to date will certainly look different. However, the quality of the Gambia squad is certainly higher and accordingly the high odds on the Gambia tip appear a little surprising at the start between Mauritania and Gambia. Value is definitely available with a 3.10, which the bookmaker Bwin we tested is currently offering.
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Expected formation of Gambia:
Jobe - Pa Modou, Omar Colley, Sanneh, Janko - Darboe, Marreh - Ebrima Colley, Musa Barrow, Jallow - Ceesay
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Mauritania - Gambia: Head-to-head comparison
Not only are the betting odds for this game extremely balanced, but also the direct comparison. In total, the two teams have faced each other 20 times so far, of which Mauritania celebrated six times and Gambia celebrated seven victories so far. These games were all quite a while ago, because the Africa Cup 2022 will kick off the first duel since March 2016. At that time, Mauritania was able to prevail in qualifying for the Africa Cup in a two-legged manner against Gambia, but had to give up the sails in the next round.
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Betting base - forecast Mauritania - Gambia: tip
Right at the beginning of the final round, a game that points the way awaits both teams. A success in the first game would open the door very, very wide in the direction of the knockout phase. The tie could already be too little for both underdogs in this group. The rhythm of the last week speaks for Mauritania, as the team had recently played a few games.
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KEY FACTS - MAURITANIA VS. GAMBIA: TIP
- In 2019, Mauritania made its debut at the Africa Cup of Nations finals - preliminary round
- For the first time since March 2016, the teams face each other again
- Debut - for the first time in history, Gambia will play a game at the Africa Cup
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The Gambia certainly has the higher quality to offer, but had recently played very few international matches. "The Scorpions" are definitely not played, but between Mauritania and Gambia, the tip on Gambia appears to be the best choice. Betting odds of over 3.00 are set too high, with Barrow, Ceesay & Co., the debutant is very strong, especially on the offensive. Even one goal could be enough for success, because Mauritania is rarely dangerous on the offensive. Five units are set for the Gambia victory, other interesting options with value are under 1.5 and the bet that both teams will not score.
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