St. Pauli vs. HSV tip, prognosis & odds 01.03.2021 - 2. Bundesliga Free soccer tips
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St. Pauli HSV tip, prognosis & odds - 2. Bundesliga
The Hamburg derby between St. Pauli and HSV has not been as regular as it has been since the times of the Oberliga, i.e. before the Bundesliga was founded. The two rivals of the Hanseatic city are now playing together in the second division for the third year in a row. The position in the ranking plays, as always in the derby, only a subordinate role.
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Still, we take a look at the table of the second division. FC St. Pauli has now found itself after a bad first half of the season and fought for twelfth place after a winning streak. The relegation is currently no longer a big issue, because the Kiezkicker have worked out a cushion of eight points on the relegation zone.
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HSV slipped from first place to fourth place on this match day because all direct competitors scored points for promotion. The odds comparison of the betting base throws HSV out as favorites on Monday and with a win the Rothosen would recapture their place in the sun. Overall, however, we would not commit ourselves to making a prognosis for an away win between St. Pauli and HSV.
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But the fact that there will be some goals should not be questioned. With Guido Burgstaller and Simon Terodde, two of the best goal scorers in the lower house face each other, who are largely responsible for the results of their clubs. It is therefore almost logical to hint at more than 2.5 goals in the St. Pauli Derby against HSV.
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Direct comparison / H2H
So far, FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV have played against each other 58 times. In a direct comparison, HSV has a relatively clear lead with 32:15 wins. Eleven games ended in a draw. In the end, the Kiezkicker usually had the better end on their side. In the second division, St. Pauli did better.
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Last season the Braun-Whites won both games and the first leg of the current season ended in a 2-2 draw in the Volkspark. This means that Pauli has been unbeaten against HSV in three games. In the first leg, Simon Terodde gave the Rautträger the lead before Rodrigo Zalazar and Simon Makienok turned the game around. It was only shortly before the end that Terodde made it 2-2 to win a point for HSV.
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St. Pauli - statistics & current form
FC St. Pauli is clearly on the upswing. This is directly linked to the name Guido Burgstaller, who is now in really good shape after a long injury. The Austrian has always scored in the last seven second division games and is thus on the hunt for records. It was Bobby Wood, who wears the HSV jersey today, who was the last player to win eight second division games in a row for Union Berlin in the 2015/16 season.
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Kiezkicker with four wins in a row
The Kiezkicker are currently rushing from victory to victory. Timo Schultz's team left the field as winners four times in a row and has thus developed a very broad chest for the derby. Even if the last opponents were not among the top teams in the second division, it sounds interesting to check the odds for a home win between St. Pauli and HSV.
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Darmstadt 98 was a guest at Millerntor last weekend. Guido Burgstaller and Omar Marmoush brought Hamburg 2-0 forward, before the lilies deservedly equalized with a double strike. Nevertheless, Pauli had the better end on his side because Guido Burgstaller scored the 3-2 winner just a few minutes before the end.
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In terms of personnel, there was a lot of guesswork about Finn Ole Becker during the week. The youngster has suspended training and it is not unlikely that Luca Zander will slip into the starting XI for it. Otherwise, Ryo Miyaichi and Christopher Avevor are only two Paulians on the list of injuries in the second division. For Christopher Buchtmann, a game against HSV should come too early.
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Expected formation of St. Pauli:
Stojanovic - Paqarada, Lawrence, Ziereis, Ohlsson - Zalazar, Smith, Zander, Kyereh - Burgstaller, Marmoush - Trainer: Schultz
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HSV - statistics & current form
It already looks like spring will be the phase of the season in which Hamburger SV gambled away their promotion to the Bundesliga. It was like that in the last two seasons and the parallels are once again obvious. Therefore, the derby against FC St. Pauli is extremely important, because a win at Millerntor could successfully initiate the final spurt in the promotion race.
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HSV have been without a win for four games
The Rothosen are anything but bad, because in the last twelve games, which we reported on in our betting base second division tips, the Hamburgers have only lost once. In the meantime, however, there has been no victory for four games and therefore it is not the very first choice to make a prediction on the Rothosen in the derby between St. Pauli and HSV.
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Last weekend Daniel Thioune's team presented itself really badly. At the bottom in Würzburg, Hamburg were 3-0 down shortly after the break, and deservedly. Only in the shooting phase did the diamond bearers rear up again and scored 2: 3 through goals from Jeremy Dudziak and Bobby Wood. But there were no points for it.
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Amadou Onana saw the traffic light card in the final stages and will be missing in the derby. Stephan Ambrosius returns to the team after a yellow card suspension. Josha Vagnoman should start for Jan Gyamerah. Due to injury, only Klaus Gjasula, Rick van Drongelen and Toni Leistner will be missing from Hamburger SV.
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Expected formation of HSV:
Ulreich - Leibold, Jung, Ambrosius, Vagnoman - Heyer, Dudziak, Kinsombi - Kittel, Jatta, Terodde - Trainer: Thioune
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Betting base forecast & Germany St. Pauli - HSV Germany tip
The clocks are set to zero, because in the derby it does not matter how the situation in the table is. It is clear, however, that the shape is an important factor, because it has always been said that the shape beats the quality. In this respect, the Kiezkicker have an advantage, because Timo Schultz's team has recently won four times in a row.
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Hamburger SV lost only one of the last twelve games, but has been waiting for a win for four games. The momentum should therefore be on the side of the brown-whites. They would love to cheat their big brother so that they can still play derbies in the second division in the coming year. All in all, we can imagine placing a tip on a home win between St. Pauli and HSV.
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Amazingly, very high prices are offered for a Paulian victory. Overall, however, we expect a game at eye level, because the home side have not lost to Rothosen in three games. Therefore we use the value in this match and play the betting odds on a home win in the derby between St. Pauli and HSV.
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