Villarreal - Liverpool: tip, prognosis & odds - 03.05.2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
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Villarreal - Liverpool: tip, prognosis & odds - 03.05.2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
On Tuesday and Wednesday evening it will be determined who can fight for the crown in the Champions League on May 28th in the Stade de France in Paris. First of all, we look to Spain, to be more precise to Villarreal. There, the yellow submarine wants to make the impossible possible and, despite the 0-2 defeat in the first leg, still make it into the final. The Reds from Liverpool will fight back with all their might and coach Jürgen Klopp's team once again shows such a calm performance as they did last week, then it will be extremely difficult for the Spanish underdog. You can read what we think about this game in detail in our Villarreal – Liverpool tip.
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If we take a closer look at the starting position before Tuesday night's second leg, we can see that Villarreal needs a little football miracle. The Spaniards certainly didn't cover themselves in glory in the first leg at Anfield and didn't manage a single shot on goal in the end. The Reds, on the other hand, looked very different. Liverpool delivered an almost perfect performance in all areas and the 2-0 was more than okay in the end.
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Villarreal: form & record check
To be honest, Villarreal fans were hoping for a little more from last Wednesday's game at Anfield. In the first leg, the Spaniards had almost no chance for the entire 90 minutes. The LFC skilfully ran the ball through their own ranks and coach Jürgen Klopp's team kept finding gaps in Villarreal's defence. The Spaniards will and must perform very differently in front of their own fans on Tuesday. Above all, the fast Danjuma and goalscorer Moreno have to be involved much more in the second leg.
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Villarreal know their own strengths and they are primarily in the lightning-fast transition game. That was next to impossible at Anfield, as there weren't any counterattack chances against the Reds. Last weekend there was the dress rehearsal for the game against Liverpool. The yellow submarine had to admit defeat against the basement child Alaves with 1:2. Due to the bankruptcy, participation in international business in the next season is becoming increasingly unlikely. They are currently four points behind Real Sociedad.
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Villarreal: Facts & Analysis
Lost last game 2-1 against Alaves
Only 7th in the league
Hardly any chances to play internationally next year
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Maybe the first leg defeat in England was still in the heads of the yellow submarine. In addition, Unai Emery has made a bigger rotation. Villarreal suffered a 2-1 away defeat at Deportivo Alaves in La Liga. Chukwueze only scored the goal shortly after the break.
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Villarreal wants to reach the final of the Champions League for the first time. All players except Alberto Moreno should be available for this mission.
Estimated line-up of Villarreal:
Rulli - Foyth, Raul Albiol, Pau, Estupinan - Parejo, Capoue, Coquelin - Chukwueze, Lo Celso, Danjuma - Coach: Emery
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Villarreal in the Europa Cup:
As you can find out below, they were rarely found in the premier class. They qualified for the Europa League group stage 8 times. In 2020/21 they decided this for themselves. They are currently in the Champions League knockout stage for the third time. 4 times they qualified for the group stage:
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2021/22: Semifinals - currently being played
2011/12: group stage
2008/09: quarter-finals
2005/06: semi-finals
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Liverpool: Form & Record Check
Anyone who dances at four weddings so close to the end of the season seems to be doing something right. The success of the Reds is also closely related to the name Jürgen Klopp. The German recently provided great news personally. Klopp has extended his contract, which actually runs until 2024, by two more years. He's chasing records again this season. The man from the Black Forest has already set a new record with 42 competitive wins in one season. Last weekend there was a narrow 1-0 win against the Magpies from Newcastle.
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Two finals against City?
Manchester City is and remains the Reds' closest competitor. After a duel with these two heavyweights in the Premier League, things could get hot in the CL final on May 28th. Liverpool FC is prepared in any case and only a few weeks ago it became apparent that they can also win the direct duels against the Sky Blues. Overall, Liverpool appear very mature across the board and this season the Reds have also gained the ability to downplay a game.
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Liverpool: Facts & Analysis
Most recently won 1-0 against Newcastle
Only lost 1 game in the Champions League
Offensive in top form
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The Reds from Liverpool are one of the really big clubs on the continent. With a successful game in Villarreal, the LFC could reach the premier class final for the tenth time. Only Real Madrid, Bayern Munich and AC Milan have done that before. With Jürgen Klopp, the English are definitely capable of anything. Four titles are still possible after winning the League Cup.
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Jurgen Klopp rested some of his players in Newcastle and will be able to bring fresh staff to numerous positions in Spain on Tuesday. The midfield will probably be a little more defensive overall. But Kloppo will certainly stick to his proven tactics with three attackers in Villarreal. Due to injury, only Roberto Firmino will not be available.
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Expected line-up of Liverpool:
Alisson - Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson - Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago - Salah, Mane, Luis Diaz - Coach: Klopp
Villarreal vs Liverpool head-to-head & stats
The two teams have faced each other three times so far. Twice, just like in the first leg, the Reds prevailed. Villarreal has won once so far.
Liverpool FC haven't conceded a goal in their last 4 games
When Liverpool FC leads 0-1 in away games, they win 95% of the games
Villarreal CF scores an average of 1.96 goals when playing at home and Liverpool FC scores an average of 2.45 goals when playing away
Liverpool FC's performance over the last 5 matches is better than Villarreal CF
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With the 2-0 home win in the first leg, Liverpool have created an optimal starting position for the second leg on May 3rd, 2022 at 9:00 p.m. at La Cerámica. You already have 1 foot in the Champions League final. Even if Villarreal wins, the Reds could progress as the 'yellow submarine' need to win by two goals to earn their first-ever premier-class final. It will be difficult for the Spaniards, as they only scored 3 goals once in the finals of a Europa Cup, namely in 2010/11 in the second leg of the Europa League semifinals at home against Porto.
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Of course, the hosts are not completely without a chance. In 2016, the "yellow submarine” won the first leg of the Europa League semifinals against the Reds 1-0 at La Cerámica. However, they were beaten 3-0 at Anfield. However, a 1-0 victory is not enough for the Spaniards to reach the final of the Champions League for the first time, as we have already written.
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Villarreal FC
- Are under pressure
- Unbeaten in 12 home games
- 2 S., 2. U, 1 N. in the CHL at home
- Decided the recent home game against the Reds
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Liverpool FC
Decided the first leg 2-0
Unbeaten in 13 away games
Decided all CHL guest games
Offensively and defensively superior to Villarreal
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Will Villarreal win again at home against Liverpool?
It will be difficult for Unai Emery and his team, because on the one hand they have to accept 3 bitter failures, maybe even 5, and on the other hand they are challenged offensively because they need goals. However, due to injury, they have to do without 2 absolutely strong offensive players, namely Gerard Moreno and Yéremy Pino. Their full-back Alberto Moreno is also out. Central defender Raúl Albiol and midfielder Francis Coquelin are questionable.
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Villarreal have won 5 games, drawn 3 and lost 3 in the Champions League so far. On average, they scored 1.64 times (18 goals in total) and conceded an average of 1.19 goals (13 total). At La Cerámica they have already suffered 1 defeat, as you can read below:
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THESE RESULTS WERE VILLARREAL INTRODUCED AT THEIR HOME STADIUM IN THE REGION:
Villarreal vs Atalanta Bergamo: 2-2
Villarreal vs Young Boys Bern: 2-0
Villarreal vs Manchester United: 0-2
Villarreal vs Juventus: 1-1
Villarreal vs Bayern Munich: 1-0
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In the Primera Division, the reigning European champions are still fighting for a starting place in the Europa League. They are currently in 7th place with 52 points. In the home stadium they presented themselves well with 10 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats. They finished 38 times and allowed 15 goals. Only 4 wins and 5 draws were possible abroad. They gave up 8 times. 16:18 is the away goal balance.
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In its history, Villarreal only had short phases in which you could attract international attention. The yellow submarine is currently in one of these. There have been three duels against the LFC so far. The English won both games at Anfield. In Spain, Villarreal prevailed. But that wasn't enough to reach the final in the 2015/16 Europa League.
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Back then, Villarreal won 1-0 at home in the semifinals. In Liverpool, however, the English turned the pairing around with a 3-0 home win and advanced to the final, where they had to bow to Sevilla with Unai Emery on the sidelines. The Reds won the first leg a week ago 2-0 at home. Pervis Estupinan with an own goal and Sadio Mane were the goalscorers for the LFC.
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Our prognosis
In general, we think Liverpool are more likely to win than Villarreal. Of course, the "yellow submarine" already caused a few surprises in the premier class. We can therefore recommend both tip 2 and tip 1 as a risk bet, although a double chance 1/X bet could even pay off. Personally, we would bet on over 2.5 goals. Whether both teams will score or not, we hardly dare to predict, although given the starting position we certainly assume that both teams will finish the game.
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