Argentina vs. Ecuador: tips, prognosis & odds - 03.07.2021 - SOUTH AMERICA: Copa America 2021 - final round
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Argentina vs. Ecuador: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 03.07.2021 - SOUTH AMERICA: Copa America 2021 - final round
The Copa America is about the business. The knockout round is on, after the group phase it goes straight to the quarter-finals, in which the best eight teams duel.
In the last quarter-final duel there will be a clash between Argentina and Ecuador on the night from Saturday to Sunday (3 a.m. Central European time), whereby the tip on Lionel Messi and Co. is of course close.
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Because in Argentina, an undefeated group winners of group A will meet fourth in group B - who has not yet won a game at the Copa America. So it's no wonder that the odds in Argentina vs. Ecuador speak a clear language in favor of the Albiceleste.
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The role of favorites is similarly clear in Brazil vs. Chile, the other duel first against fourth. For the other two quarter-finals Peru vs. Paraguay and Colombia vs. Uruguay, there are also forecasts and analyzes in advance on the betting base - to be found in the Copa America tips section.
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Argentina - statistics & current form
The starting point is clear before this last quarter-final: In Argentina, alongside Brazil, one of the two big favorites for the title will face the weakest team that has qualified for the knockout round. Like Brazil in their group B, Argentina also marched through the group stage undefeated and collected ten points from four games, thus underpinning their favorite status.
Messi and Co. won three of the four games, while opponents Ecuador went through one round without a single win. So it is not surprising that before Argentina vs. Ecuador, the betting odds of the best bookmakers are clearly pointing towards Messi's men.
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The Albiceleste also gained a boost in self-confidence in the last group game. The final 4: 1 against Bolivia was a relaxed show, the team was able to play freely without pressure and tactical restraints. Before that, the results were just as positive, but there was definitely room for improvement in terms of play.
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Argentina: Favorite tip with interesting value
A 1-1 draw against Chile at the start of the group stage was followed by two narrow 1-0 wins against Uruguay and Paraguay. The duty was fulfilled in this way, but in a very minimalist way. The bottom line, however, was the effortless group victory with three wins from four games - the reward: You can only meet top favorites and arch-rivals Brazil in the final.
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And now you have the supposedly easiest opponent in front of your chest in Ecuador. Anyone who believes that the Argentines will advance will find odds of 1.45 on average on this tip before Argentina vs. Ecuador. Not such a bad rate for the favorite tip as we think.
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But if you want to make your betting slip a little more lucrative, you should consider the handicap tip on the gauchos. Because giving the forecast for Argentina vs. Ecuador already brings notations of sometimes over 2.30 - which corresponds to very good value for us.
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Expected formation of Argentina:
E. Martinez - Molina, Romero, Otamendi, Tagliafico - Paredes, Rodriguez, de Paul - Messi, L. Martinez, Gonzalez
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Ecuador - statistics & current form
Argentina shouldn't make the mistake of taking Ecuador lightly, just because 'La Tri' couldn't win any of their four group games and made it to the round of 16 in fourth place with three meager points.
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Because: Ecuador has only lost one of its four games. After the 0: 1 defeat on matchday 1, Venezuela and Peru each scored 2: 2, but in the end the Seleçao lost their first point against Brazil, and the Brazilians ended up with a 1: 1.
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Ecuador: Another draw can be enough again
In order to get far at the Copa and to be successful, you don't necessarily need a lot of victories - even draws can be enough. Because: There is no extension in the knockout phase. If there is a draw after 90 minutes, it goes straight to penalties.
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The Ecuadorians will certainly sign another draw after 90 minutes against the clearly favored Argentina in advance. Anyone who believes in it will find odds of around 4.40 on the prediction of the tie before Argentina vs. Ecuador.
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Since Argentina struggled with scoring goals in three of their four games and you can expect a defensive and destructive Ecuador that will stand safe and play on the counterattack, you shouldn't necessarily expect many goals or even a runaway victory for the favorites.
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Expected formation of Ecuador:
Galindez - Preciado, Arboleda, Hincapie, Estupiñan - Franco, Mendez, Caicedo, Palacios, Diaz - Campana
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Direct comparison / H2H
The last duel between these two teams was not that long ago: They met in the qualifying for the World Cup in Qatar last October, when Argentina managed a close 1-0 at home. The battle of strength was much more pronounced in the previous year, when there was a clear 6: 1 in a friendly match for the Albiceleste, who won the last three games.
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However, Ecuador always manages to annoy the gauchos:
There have been two wins and three draws in the last ten meetings. The overall balance between the two national teams is still quite clear: Argentina celebrated 21 wins in 34 games, with nine draws and only four wins for Ecuador.
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Bet base forecast & Argentina Argentina - Ecuador Ecuador tip
Argentina are the clear favorites in the game and anything but progress by Messi and Co. would be a big surprise. Not only because a group leader meets fourth in the group, but also because Argentina has declared the title as a goal regardless of the matchup and anything but a place in the final would be a bitter disappointment.
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We cannot imagine that the Albiceleste, who have not lost a single game against Brazil at the Copa America 2019 semi-finals, will not make it to the semi-finals.
Since Messi is in good shape - he leads the scorers list with three goals - and Argentina has also recently gained self-confidence offensively, we can very well imagine a 2-0 win for the gauchos, for example. For this reason we give the prediction of the handicap win in Argentina vs. Ecuador, as we find the odds on this to be lucrative. Interwetten is currently showing the top odds (click here for the test). If you do not yet have an account with the provider, we recommend the EUR 100 bonus from Interwetten.
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