Atlético - Man City: tip, prognosis & odds - 04/13/2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
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Atlético - Man City: tip, prognosis & odds - 04/13/2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
After the 1:0 win in the first leg against Atletico and a 2:2 in the Premier League top game against Liverpool, the next important game is now waiting for the Citizens. The Spaniards want to turn the game at home. After quite a defensive performance in Manchester, they need a goal this time. So we're expecting a different game.
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The second leg of the quarter-finals of the Champions League is coming up this week. While the trend in two of the four games is relatively clear, anything is still possible in the other two games. One of these two encounters includes the duel Atlético Madrid against Manchester City. In the first leg, the Spaniards "only” walled themselves off to a 1-0 defeat. While the performance left many baffled, this narrow result means they only need a one-goal win in Wednesday's second leg to at least qualify for extra time.
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However, it is a difficult task to survive in the Wanda Metropolitano. Many absolute top teams have already lost their teeth at Atletico Madrid. In general, the citizens do not have good memories of trips to Spain. Manchester City have won just three of eleven away games with Spanish clubs. However, in this second leg a draw would be enough to advance.
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The English won the first leg last week 1-0 at home. If the away goals rule still applied, that would be a very good result. Today, however, a one-goal win is enough for the Madrilenians to win extra time. However, we think that in the duel between Atletico Madrid and Manchester City, the first prediction should be an away win.
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Atlético: form & record check
It seems like the team already headed into the second leg against Man City at the weekend. Against Mallorca, after an uninspired performance, there was a 1-0 defeat in which Diego Simeone's team had disappointed. In general, the current season is anything but successful at national level and it seems as if the Colchoneros are not as focused as they were last season. Above all defensively, the team does not come close to the performance of the last season. Again and again, lack of concentration disturb the game of the Rojiblancos.
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But it's not just the defense that can't match the level of last season, the offensive doesn't even remotely emit a similar goal threat. Antoine Griezmann's return campaign has so far not lived up to expectations. In addition, Luis Suárez – last season's top scorer – is only a backup player. The bright spot of the last few weeks was Joao Felix. The Portuguese was able to score regularly and was voted March's player of the month. If Atlético want to pull something off on Tuesday, they need their attacking players to be in top form.
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Atlético: Facts & Analysis
Before losing to Mallorca, Atlético had won 7 games in a row in the league
They are currently in 4th place in the table
Diego Simeone has never been eliminated by Pep Guardiola in the Champions League
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Before the quarter-finals, Atletico won a total of 6 competitive games in a row and remained unbeaten in 8 games. In the meantime, the league has shot up to 3rd place. With the 1-0 defeat against Manchester City, however, the good series broke and last weekend they suffered a 1-0 defeat against RCD Mallorca. The Rojiblancos have not been able to score for 2 games. In the 3rd game in a row they conceded a goal. Even in their own stadium they only managed to keep a clean sheet once in the last 8 games.
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Angel Correa, who is back in the game after his yellow card suspension in the first leg, should provide creative moments again on Wednesday. Joao Felix will also probably return to the starting XI. Luis Suarez, on the other hand, is likely to be put on the bench, as was the case in the first leg. Yannick Carrasco will be suspended. Jose Maria Gimenez and Hector Herrera are out with injuries.
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Expected line-up of Atletico Madrid:
Oblak - Savic, Felipe, Mandava - Kondogbia - Correa, de Paul, Koke, Llorente - Joao Felix, Griezmann - Coach: Simeone
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Man City: Form & Record Check
The weeks of truth are currently running for City. Only last week they had to play the first leg against Atlético, at the weekend they then played against the biggest rivals in the league and now the semi-finals of the premier class are at stake. So far, City has mastered all the tasks very well and the success in the first leg was followed by a draw in the top game against the Reds. In an incredibly high-class game, the Skyblues played an outstanding 1st half and could have led higher. In the end there was only a 2:2 to book. However, this result helps the Citizens more than the competitor, since the lead in the table could be defended for the time being+.
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Angel Correa, who is back in the game after his yellow card suspension in the first leg, should provide creative moments again on Wednesday. Joao Felix will also probably return to the starting XI. Luis Suarez, on the other hand, is likely to be put on the bench, as was the case in the first leg. Yannick Carrasco will be suspended. Jose Maria Gimenez and Hector Herrera are out with injuries.
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Expected line-up of Atletico Madrid:
Oblak - Savic, Felipe, Mandava - Kondogbia - Correa, de Paul, Koke, Llorente - Joao Felix, Griezmann - Coach: Simeone
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It's been a tough few weeks for Manchester City. But that's because Pep Guardiola's team is having a successful season and is still dancing at three weddings. In all three competitions, Champions League, Premier League and FA Cup, the Skyblues played for the title. So you still have to be highly concentrated in every game. In any case, the senses at City are still sharpened.
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Manchester is expanding the series from just one defeat in 23 competitive games. We therefore do not assume that Madrid will have to accept bankruptcy, especially since the English travel to the Spanish capital with almost a full band. With the exception of the suspended Gabriel Jesus and the ailing Ruben Dias, all players should be on board.
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Expected line-up of Manchester City:
Ederson - Cancelo, Laporte, Stones, Walker - Rodri, Gundogan - Grealish, de Bruyne, Mahrez - Sterling - Coach: Guardiola
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Once again the Citizens reach for the Champions League title. Last year they reached the final for the first time, but in the end they narrowly lost to Chelsea. This year they are one of the big favorites again. After a tight 1-0 in the first leg, the semi-finals have not yet been booked. City now decides whether it will be a successful season or not.
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Man City: Facts & Analysis
Unbeaten in 9 competitive games
So far, City have lost 2 out of 4 away games in the premier class
City have not conceded a goal in their last 4 away games in the league
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Atlético vs Man City: head-to-head & stats
In fact, the first leg was the first direct duel in European competition. But the two coaches have met before, with Diego Simeone usually coming out on top.
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Both failed to win their last game
City have not lost an away game in the Premier League since Matchday 1
Atlético have yet to win a home game in the Champions League this season
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For many years, Atletico Madrid and Manchester City have regularly avoided each other in the Champions League. The first leg of this year's quarter-finals was actually the first meeting between these two clubs. After the English team's 1-0 victory, it goes without saying that they are ahead in a direct comparison.
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The bulwark of the Spaniards held for a long time, who mainly focused on protecting their own case and accordingly did not fire a single shot on goal throughout the game. So Manchester City struggled to a 1-0 win. In the 70th minute it was once again Kevin de Bruyne who scored the decisive goal for the Citizens.
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Tip and prognosis
Atletico Madrid need a goal in this game and have to play more offensively. City could create space for this. Based on this starting position, we assume more than 1.5 hits. The guests should be the better team. As a risk tip, we therefore see tip 2 as best suited.
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