Burnley - Manchester City: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 02.04.2022 - ENGLAND: Premier League
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Burnley - Manchester City: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 02.04.2022 - ENGLAND: Premier League
A few weeks ago it seemed almost unthinkable that the Premier League title race would come to such a head again. The Citizens made an extremely stable impression, marched from victory to victory and had a relatively comfortable lead over their pursuers. Because the Guardiola-Elf surprisingly often lost feathers recently, Jürgen Klopp's Reds have pushed themselves up to one point.
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In the duel for the English championship, the leader must follow suit on Saturday afternoon at Turf Moor. If we look at the odds of the bookmakers before the duel between Burnley and Manchester City, then this task seems more than feasible. Only a 1.23 is offered for success at the top. The probability of occurrence is therefore a whopping 81%.
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This clear assessment is based on many factors. Among other things, the fans of the home side should think about the fact that their team lost the last nine direct duels against the reigning champions in all competitions and was only able to score a single goal in total. Even the disappointing appearances immediately before the international break are no encouragement that a prediction of a surprise coup by the underdog between Burnley and Manchester City could pay off at the weekend.
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Burnley: Stats & Current Form
The air for Burnley Football Club in the English Premier League table is getting thinner and thinner. The team of coach Sean Dyche currently occupies the penultimate place. Four points are currently missing on the saving bank. The only glimmer of hope in this respect is the fact that the Clarets "only" have 27 matches on their account, which is two to three fewer than their direct competition.
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From a purely sporting point of view, however, there are few arguments that suggest a tip in the direction of the home side between Burnley and Manchester City. Before the international break, the relegation contenders suffered three bankruptcies in a row without scoring a single goal. A 2-0 home loss to Leicester was followed by a 4-0 loss to Chelsea and the painful 2-0 defeat at Brentford, which came from a brace in the final five minutes of the game.
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In view of these results, it really doesn't need any further explanation to tout the odds of a clean sheet win for the visitors in the Burnley v Manchester City game. With only 22 goals conceded, the Weinroten have the second weakest offensive in the league. Looking back at the past ten matches in the upper house alone, there were six offensive zeros.
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Also interesting is the statistic that seven of the twelve PL defeats this season had to be accepted with a difference of at least two goals. So if you want to go with the trend, you will find, for example, a 1.67 for the handicap success of the favorite. It is quite possible that the result will only be increased after the change of sides, because the Dyche-Elf swallowed a large part of the goals they conceded only from the 46th minute. It is also worth noting that the three most recent defeats mentioned were still 0 at the break: 0 stood.
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Expected lineup of Burnley:
Pope - Taylor, Tarkowski, Mee, Roberts - McNeil, Brownhill, Westwood, Lennon - Cornet, Weghorst
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Manchester City: Stats & Current Form
The international break may have come at a very good time for Manchester City's many international players. The stars had a few days to leave their everyday routine in the English industrial city behind and at the same time to recharge their batteries for the final sprint. Everyone involved with the reigning champions should be aware that the Guardiola team must be more focused and effective than in the past few weeks.
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In particular, the two goalless draws in the second leg of the Champions League against Sporting Lisbon and in the league at Crystal Palace sparked a small discussion about whether the Citizens might not be missing a classic nine. Despite all the justified criticism of the somewhat inconsistent appearances of late, it should not be neglected that the Sky Blues only lost one of their last 19 competitive games and celebrated 15 victories in the same period. Ascribing a weakness in form to the leader corresponds to the typical "whining at the highest level".
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At the weekend we assume that Kevin de Bruyne and Co. will make short work of the opponents, who are clearly inferior in quality, and thus maintain the top of the table. There is also an interesting statistic that speaks for this, which perhaps not everyone has on the screen immediately. In fact, City have won 24 of their last 26 matches against teams that start the day in a relegation zone.
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It is also worth noting that coach Pep Guardiola's charges have won 13 of their 22 wins this season by at least a two-goal margin. On average, the star ensemble was even able to put 2.4 goals per victory between themselves and their respective opponents. Consequently, between Burnley and Manchester City, a prognosis on the handicap (-1.5) in favor of the guests can be made without hesitation. Especially given that the sky blues were the only Premier League team this season not to drop a single point after taking the lead. Whenever the title contender was in front, there was a win in the end.
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Expected line-up of Manchester City:
Ederson - Cancelo, Stones, Laporte, Walker - B. Silva, Rodri, de Bruyne - Grealish, Foden, Mahrez
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Burnley – Manchester City: Head-to-head comparison
At the latest after the head-to-head assessment, there is no question who will leave Turf Moor as the winner on Saturday afternoon. Man City have won ten of their last eleven Premier League games against Burnley. In all competitions, the favorite even managed to win nine in a row against the Clarets, and that with a goal difference of 32:1!
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The last five matches have always been won by two or more goals. On average, it was even more than three goals difference. The Guardiola team easily won the first leg 2-0.
Betting base forecast: Burnley – Manchester City tip
However, the current leaders, Manchester City, definitely have a chance to regain or defend their place in the sun. At Turf Moor in Burnley, the Sky Blues are the big favorites.
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No wonder, because the Citizens not only won nine competitive games in a row against the upcoming opponent, but also won the last five Premier League matches against the Clarets by at least two goals. Added to this is the weak condition of the relegation candidate, who lost three times in a row with 0: 8 goals before the international break.
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We are therefore of the opinion that coach Pep Guardiola's team will be in top form again after the recent somewhat unfocused performance and land a statement success. Consequently, we chose between Burnley and Manchester City for the T
ipp decided on the handicap away win (-1.5). We allude to the already mentioned 1.67 with a bet of six units.
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However, if you want to take a little more risk, we recommend betting odds before the Burnley vs. Manchester City duel that City alone will win the second half by at least two goals. Especially in the first 45 minutes, the Clarets were able to keep up well, before the defensive bulwark buckled as the game went on.
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