Croatia vs. Spain: Tips, prognosis & odds - 28.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021 - final round
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Croatia vs. Spain: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 28.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021 - final round
Both Croatia and Spain had to tremble a lot in the preliminary round. Both national teams made their entry into the knockout round of the European Championship only on the last group match day by winning their two final games and jumping to second place. It was the first victories for the two national teams at the EM.
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Croatia prevailed 3-1 in their 'final' against Scotland, Spain finally knew how to convince against Slovakia and shot their way to an intoxicating 5-0. That very big victory certainly ensures that the Spaniards are now quite clearly favored in this clash, as the odds of the betting providers show before Croatia vs. Spain.
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There are two duels between runners-up in the round of 16, the other knockout game, in which two second-placed nations meet, is Wales vs. Denmark.
If you want to find out more about the games in the round of 16, our betting base Podcast Talk & Tips is recommended. Here all the games are examined in detail and there are tips, analyzes and prognoses for every single knockout duel.
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Croatia - statistics & current form
For the Croatians, the tournament started very slowly and slowly. In the first two group games, the team around Superstar Luka Modric from Real Madrid even disappointed across the board - in terms of play and results. A dull 0: 1 at the start against the English was followed by an equally staid 1: 1 against the Czech Republic, in which Hrvatska could ultimately live well with the point behind.
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In the last group final, Croatia had their backs to the wall against Scotland - here Modric and Co. played their experience in the final against the Bravehearts. Even if the team sometimes looked outdated, the 3-1 win against Scotland paid off the routine and well-established team of coach Zlatko Dalic.
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Modric leads Croatia into the round of 16: "Are a danger for everyone"
"If we play like that, then we are a danger to everyone,” explained captain Modric, who scored the interim 2-1 with a glorious flick of the outside kick and brought Croatia to the winning road. It took the Croatians until the third matchday to win, but when they reached the round of 16, a new tournament began, so to speak. As at the 2018 World Cup, the vice world champion wants to surprise again and get as far as possible as an underdog.
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"We have achieved the first goal and now we have the opportunity to take another step," said coach Dalic: "We still have ambitions and want to achieve as much as possible." Anyone who thinks that Croatia will knock the favored Spaniards out of the tournament can, finds odds of up to 7.00 in Croatia vs. Spain. This top rate is currently offered by the provider ComeOn, which was tested by the betting base.
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Relying on the outsider might seem a bit more risky at first glance, given the strong Spanish performance against Slovakia, but Modric and Co. feel good if you don't bet on them at a tournament. In the case of Croatia vs. Spain, the tip therefore has an extremely lucrative value.
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Expected formation of Croatia:
Livakovic - Juranovic, Caleta-Car, Vida, Gvardiol - Brozovic, Modric, Kovacic - Vlasic, Petkovic, Perisic
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Spain - statistics & current form
The Spaniards are once again the clear favorite. Similar to Croatia, the Iberians also had a very difficult time on the first two match days; Spain also had to wait for their first win until the last day of the match.
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But this was all the more intoxicating. While Spain still had enormous problems converting their field superiority into goals in the 0-0 draw against Sweden and the 1-1 draw against Poland, the knot finally burst in the last group game when Slovakia was shot down 5-0.
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In Spain the ketchup flows
It was like a ketchup bottle: first nothing comes in forever and then a lot all at once. The scoring gives La Roja a lot of self-confidence before the last 16 duel with Croatia. Even the famous bookmakers in Germany have no doubt who is the clear favorite. A victory for the Iberians is largely expected. So there are odds of 1.60 on average before Croatia vs. Spain on the tip.
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However, you should be prepared for the fact that the Spaniards will have to crack a stubbornly defending opponent again. They didn't do that very well against Sweden and Poland. "I don't think they will play man against man or that they will press like crazy", captain Sergio Busquets looks ahead to Croatia and expects a defensive opponent who will probably play on the counter.
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The betting odds also show something similar. In Croatia vs. Spain, the prognosis is under 2.5 goals with an average of 1.75, the over brings a 2.10 with it. So there might be a game of patience for Spain and a game with few goals for the spectators.
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Expected formation of Spain:
Simon - Azpilicueta, Garcia, Laporte, Alba - Busquets, Pedri, Koke - Moreno, Morata, Olmo
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Direct comparison / H2H
Spain and Croatia last met in the 2018/19 UEFA Nations League. In the first leg in Spain, La Roja shot the Croatians 6-0 out of the stadium. In the second leg in Croatia, Hrvatska then won 3-2.
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There have been eight international matches between these two nations, with Spain winning four and Croatia three. One game ended in a draw.
The balance is balanced when they meet at tournaments. Here you only dueled twice, both times you met in EM group phases. In 2012 Spain won 1-0, in 2016 Croatia won 2-1.
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Betting base forecast & Croatia Croatia - Spain Spain tip
Can Spain carry the good feeling and self-confidence from the intoxicating 5-0 against Slovakia into the knockout phase? That is the big question before the round of 16 duel with Croatia.
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La Roja should have gained so much self-confidence here that you shouldn't be afraid of the uncomfortable Croatians. Because they have so far been anything but convincing at the EM, but the experienced Croatians around captain Luka Modric are also simply difficult to crack. And that you can go far in a tournament without winning many games after 90 or 120 minutes, you could already see when they made it to the final at the 2018 World Cup.
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We basically expect Croatians with a defensive attitude and Spaniards with a lot of possession who will look for the gaps in the network of the opponent from the Balkans. A game of patience could develop for La Roja, similar to twice in the group stage.
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So we don't necessarily bet on many goals, but we also believe that Spain can take the momentum from the last game with them. Therefore our forecast for Croatia vs. Spain is: Spain will win and there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the game.
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