Ecuador vs. Peru: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 08.06.2021 - World Cup qualification 2022
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Ecuador vs. Peru: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 08.06.2021 - World Cup qualification 2022
While the European Championship is casting its shadow on our continent, important qualifying games for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar are on the program in South America these days. At the same time, these competitive games also serve as the final tests for the upcoming Copa America, which begins on Sunday evening.
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Two teams, who will also face each other at the CONMEBOL Association tournament at the end of June, will already be crossing their blades on late Tuesday evening. We're talking about Ecuador and Peru. According to the quotas, the clear favorite role lies with "La Tri”, which has so far played a strong qualification and is currently third and has developed a good starting position for the further course.
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It looks completely different with the guests from the west of South America. After five games, "La Blanquirroja” only has a single point and already conceded 13 goals. Only in the previous week did a hearty 3-0 defeat against Colombia at home, which showed the upright condition of the world rankings-27. currently located.
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Because the home side also made great performances at home and have a lot more self-confidence, a prognosis for the home win between Ecuador and Peru is again an option. On the three-way market, the top rate of 1.44 is currently offered by Bet365. If you want to bet on a surprising point win for the bottom, the tested bookmaker ComeOn lures you with the payout of more than three times your stake.
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Ecuador - statistics & current form
In this millennium alone, the Ecuadorian national team has already qualified for a world championship three times. "La Tri" only had to watch the 2010 finals in South Africa from afar. At the moment, there are many indications that the three-colored team will be able to return their business card to Qatar in 2022, because after five games, coach Gustavo Alfaro's team is in a respectable third place.
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The number 53 in the FIFA world rankings has already won three matches. There were also two manageable defeats against the South American football figureheads from Brazil and Argentina.
Ecuador so far flawless at home
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So far, the Ecuadorians have been particularly convincing at home. The 4: 2 against Uruguay and the 6: 1 respectable success (!) Against the highly traded Colombians underline this thesis impressively and are at the same time the main argument when it comes to justifying the tip on the host on Tuesday evening between Ecuador and Peru. Also interesting: In both of the victories mentioned, the Alfaro-Elf were already in front with two goals difference at half time.
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The second greatest strength can be derived directly from the results from 2020, because in the course of the three victories mentioned, "La Tri” scored no less than 13 goals! If you want to forecast at least three goals in the course of the game in the third home game of the current World Cup qualification between Ecuador and Peru, you can use the Unibet app, which is easy to use while on the move, to pick up a 1.97 in the top for the over 2.5.
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Will success come back with Youngster Caicedo?
Compared to the 0-2 bankruptcy a few days ago in Brazil, in which the three-coloreds again put down a decent performance, even held the goalless draw up to the 65th minute and only conceded the goal to the final score with a penalty from Neymar in the final minute there are one or two changes in the starting XI.
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The return of Premier League pro Moises Caicedo (Brighton Hove & Albion) is eagerly awaited, who at the age of 19 is already the unrestricted clock in midfield and was spared against Brazil due to minor injuries. Together with the experienced Enner Valencia, shooting star Estupinan and Bundesliga professional Carlos Gruezo from Augsburg, the third-placed thus has a very decent axis.
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Peru - statistics & current form
In 2017, the Peruvian national team was among the top ten in the world rankings for the first time in its association history. At the subsequent World Cup finals in 2018, the South Americans were even treated as one of the candidates who could surprise the most. After two defeats against France and Denmark and a win against Australia, however, it was already the end of the group stage.
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Since then, the development in the west of the continent has tended to decline. Although the Copa America final was sensationally achieved in 2019, which was lost 3-1 to Brazil, at the latest with the start of the World Cup qualification for the next World Cup in Qatar in 2022, the "Blanquirrojos" lost focus on the essentials. There is no other explanation for the more than disappointing yield to date.
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Peru recently with four defeats in a row
After five game days, the red-whites adorn the bottom of the table in the CONMEBOL group. A single draw at the start against Paraguay are faced with four defeats, so that the gap to the relegation place has already grown to six points. The ticket for the finals in winter 2022 has moved a long way off, especially due to the fact that the last appearances amounted to a sporting oath of disclosure.
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Especially the 0: 3 at home against Colombia a few days ago was a clear indication that coach Ricardo Gareca, who has been wielding the scepter at the association since 2015, may slowly become tired of office and no longer reach the players one hundred percent. At the same time, the quality of the aging team has noticeably decreased.
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The ongoing form crisis paired with the fact that "La Rojiblanca" is by far the most vulnerable defensive in the qualification so far (13 goals conceded) make the odds on the home three-pointers appear very lucrative in the duel Ecuador vs. Peru. Even a bet on the double result in favor of the home side cannot be ruled out, especially since the Peruvians were behind in three of their four bankruptcies at halftime. To make matters worse, four potential regular players, Farfan, Flores, Gonzalez and the suspended Trauco, are not available on Tuesday evening.
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Direct comparison / H2H
As part of the World Cup qualification, the two neighboring states from the west of South America face each other for the 15th time. With six wins versus four draws and four defeats, Ecuador leads the direct comparison. In the last qualification, however, the Peruvians had the upper hand twice with 2: 1. In return, "La Tri” prevailed in the two most recent duels on a friendly basis in 2018 and 2019 with 2-0 and 1-0 respectively.
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Betting base forecast & Ecuador Ecuador - Peru Peru tip
A few days before the start of the Copa America 2021, important points in the fight for tickets for Qatar 2022 will be awarded in the World Cup qualification in South America. From the point of view of the Ecuadorians, the good impression of the first five game days has to be confirmed. Thanks to three wins and two narrow bankruptcies against Argentina and Brazil, "La Tri” is currently in a good third place.
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Both previous home games against Uruguay and Colombia could be clearly won. In total, Enner Valencia and Co. even scored an incredible ten goals in 180 minutes! This developed home strength in connection with the great self-confidence and the good performance in the last 2-0 draw against the Brazilians means that we see an attractive value in the betting odds on the home win between Ecuador and Peru.
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Another argument is the weak constitution of the "Rojiblanca", which lost all of the last four international matches, is the weakest defensive player in World Cup qualification and is in last place in the table.
Because the hosts already laid the groundwork for success in the first half of the previous home games and both times led by two goals, we decided this time in the match Ecuador vs. Peru for the tip on a start-to-finish win of the Favorites. For the double result HT1 / FT1 we get a lucrative 2.10 at Bet365, which we play with six units. Bet365 also offers a welcome bonus for new customers.
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