Genoa - Sampdoria: Tips, prognosis & odds - 10.12.2021 - ITALY: Serie A
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Genoa - Sampdoria: Tips, prognosis & odds - 10.12.2021 - ITALY: Serie A
It is clear that this game is not exactly a top game. But where is the best tip for Genoa vs. Sampdoria? From our point of view, goal bets are not a bad choice in this case, but in our opinion a clear tendency can also be seen in the three-way.
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The city of Genoa was certainly facing more attractive derbies. CFC Genoa are currently in penultimate place in the table and Sampdoria Genua is in 15th place. The guests are therefore slightly favored, even if the last direct duels tend to speak for the home side.
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The situation with the home side is particularly precarious. The CFC lags behind expectations in every way and is only in the penultimate place in the table. With only one win in the entire season so far, there is definitely a potential relegation after 16 rounds.
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But the city rivals also have their problems, but can stay away from the relegation zone at the moment. However, the lead over number 18 in the table is not that great and therefore you should not feel safe in any way. A win in the derby could, however, bring very important points.
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CFC Genoa - miserable start under Andriy Shevchenko
After a good 11th place last season, the club is hoping for a place in the middle of the table this year as well. This hope was short-lived, however, because at the beginning of the season there were big problems. In now 16 league games they managed only one victory. This ultimately cost coach Davide Ballardini his job at the beginning of November. He was followed by the successful Ukraine coach Andriy Shevchenko. This led his home country to the quarter-finals at the Euro and should now ensure that the CFC Genoa holds the class. The start under him could hardly have been worse.
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Genoa - statistics & current form
Overall, it is not surprising that the bookmakers' odds in Genoa vs. Sampdoria tend to be against the home team, even if the opponent is by no means unbeatable. In the last few weeks, however, the CFC has simply not shown itself to be competitive.
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Four games, one point, zero goals, but seven goals against. That was the sobering result last month. Previously, at least a few draws were made against comparable small clubs like Venezia or Embolie, but now they seem to have completely lost the thread.
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In the camp of the nine-time championship winner, they hope to mobilize all their strength again in the game against their arch rivals. Since no victory has yet been achieved in their own stadium and only three points have generally been scored here, optimism in the present case is a daring thing.
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In a direct duel with city rivals, Luigi Ferraris has rarely scored a threesome in recent years. The last win as the host was more than ten years ago, and overall only one success emerged from the last ten encounters.
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We are accordingly cautious with our forecast for Genoa vs. Sampdoria and are assuming relatively few goals. The home side last scored a goal in their own stadium almost two months ago, and there has been no radio silence in the opposing box since then. The bottom line is that even a draw won't be an easy endeavor.
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Expected formation of Genoa:
Sirigu - Biraschi, Vasquez, Bani - Ghiglione, Toure, Hernani, Behrami, Cambiaso - Ekuban, Bianchi
Can this team still be saved?
Currently this can at least be doubted. In almost every statistic, the club is in the bottom third of the table, and the new coach couldn't change that either. In 4 games under Shevchenko, only one point was collected against Udinese. In addition, they have not yet managed to score. The goal difference in the last 4 games is 0: 7 goals. The opponents were also called Milan, Juventus and Roma, among others. As before, the team has only one single win of the season.
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Sampdoria - Statistics & Current Form
Lying in 15th place in the table, the ghost of relegation haunts the corridors of the other club from Genoa. At the moment the lead on 18th place is five points, so extreme caution is required and losing is a "no go” on Friday.
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After all, the four-time cup winner got two wins from the last four games, so that the providers of Genoa vs. Sampdoria, we believe, legitimately interpret the odds in favor of the guests.
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At least coach D’Aversa can look forward to a goal scoring by his boys in almost every game, because only one goal has not been scored since the end of September. In the period mentioned, however, they did not concede a goal only once, there is no trace of a defense of the Italian type.
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Since the opponent had nothing to offer offensively recently, the chances of three points are not bad at all. After all, the guests celebrated victories in two of the last five direct duels without conceding a goal. In the past nine duels with the arch-rival, the own box was kept clean five times.
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It is also noticeable that the D’Aversa-Elf almost always takes something countable against teams from the bottom third of the table. From our point of view, a tip on the guests at Genoa vs. Sampdoria is worth the money. Incidentally, the current Unibet bonus can provide excellent protection in this case.
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Expected formation of Sampdoria:
Audero - Bereszynski, Ferrari, Chabot, Augello - Candreva, Thorsby, Ekdal, Verre - Gabbiadini, Quagliarella
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Genoa derby in direct comparison
Here the CFC Genoa has been a little ahead of the curve in the recent past. They have been unbeaten against Sampdoria for 4 games, 2 of which were won. In their own stadium, however, they have been without a win for 9 games. 2 of the last 3 home games ended in a draw. Both teams scored a goal for the fourth time in a row.
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In total, the two clubs have faced each other 89 times. With 34 wins, Sampdoria is ahead on the balance sheet, while the CFC has 23 full wins. In the recent past in particular, Genoa victories have become very rare, with the "Rossoblu" only winning one of the last ten duels.
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Who will be number one in Genoa on Friday? The hosts have been so low in the last few months that a victory on their part is simply not to be expected. Rather, as in many derbies before, the CFC could show itself to be relatively toothless and slide into another defeat.
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KEY FACTS - GENOA VS. SAMPDORIA TIP:
- Genoa has only celebrated one victory this season
- Sampdoria has always scored in the last five league games
- In the last ten direct duels, Genoa has only won one victory
On the part of the guests, everything is by no means pure bliss, but unlike their arch-rivals, they score goals at very regular intervals. There is no question for us that the odds at Genoa vs. Sampdoria rightly point to advantages for the guests. With odds around 2.40, a tip on the "blue-whites” can bring in profitable profits. We recommend the use of four units.
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Tip and forecast
On paper, the guests play the slightly better season and are therefore also the easy favorites. However, they have been without a win for 4 games in the derby. 2 of the last 4 duels where the CFC officially played at home ended in a draw. Tip X is also recommended here as a risk variant. Based on the latest results and the fact that we are dealing with a derby, we expect both teams to score.
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