Italy - Switzerland: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11/12/2021 - EUROPE: World Championship - Qualification 2022
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Italy - Switzerland: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11/12/2021 - EUROPE: World Championship - Qualification 2022
Italy are the clear favorites in the World Cup qualifiers at home against Switzerland. The Azzurri could hardly be defeated recently and are a real home power. The first leg ended goalless. The Swiss are favorite opponents for the Italians. Therefore, we bet on the home win with goals from both teams
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Will the European champion be brought back to the hard ground of reality? A danger that is definitely there, because two match days before qualifying for the upcoming soccer World Cup in Qatar has not yet secured the ticket. However, this could change late Friday night in the Eternal City of Rome. In the new edition of the opening game of the previous European Championship, Italy and Switzerland face each other.
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This is the showdown in the fight for the Qatar ticket. Basically, the starting situation couldn't be more exciting, because after six games both teams have 14 points on the credit side. The first leg ended in a draw and only because of the better goal difference Italy is currently ahead of the Swiss. If there is a winner on Friday, he will definitely play at the World Cup. The home side are the clear favorites, because Italy against Switzerland offers betting odds of 1.60 for the Squadra Azzurra.
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Will Italy remain undefeated in 11th consecutive duel?
Final for the fixed place at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar: Switzerland is visiting European champions Italy and wants to defeat the Azzurri again after 28 years. For the bookmakers, however, the home team has a clear advantage. The 2nd place is secured for both teams, now it is a direct duel for the preliminary decision for 1st place and a ticket for the world championship next year. The two group leaders will meet on Friday, November 12th, 2021 at 8.45 p.m. in the Stadio Olimpico Rome.
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Italy
- 2 wins from 3 home games
- 2 wins from 3 international matches
- only 1 goal conceded in 8 qualifying games
- 10 duels without defeat
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Switzerland
- 8 international matches without defeat
- 3 away games undefeated
- no goal conceded in 4 games
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Will Italy make the preliminary decision with a home win?
Italy's national team could ensure the preliminary decision for first place in the group with a home win. The Squadra Azzurra leads tied with the Confederates, but has the better goal difference. Roberto Mancini's team won 4 of the first 6 qualifying games, with 2 draws. The European champions finished third in the Nations League in October after losing to Spain and beating Belgium.
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Italy are now the clear favorites for the home win against Switzerland. Tipico only calls for odds of 1.10 for the Italian group win. The southern Europeans have only lost one of their past 39 international matches, have won 2 wins (1 defeat) from their last 3 games, but were only able to win 3 of the last 9 matches after regular time
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The Azzurri only conceded 1 goal in the World Cup qualifying, in 5 of these games the Mancini-Elf kept the zero behind. Under the European championship coach, the team only conceded an average of 0.59 goals out of 2.45 goals per game. In 5 of the last 6 home games, the Italians had to accept goals. In 3 of the last 5 qualifying games, the Squadra won the 2nd half.
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With a draw, the big arithmetic begins, because then on the last day of the game the goal difference will probably decide whether to cheer or mourn. The Italian team also has a small advantage here, as they currently have two better results. The game for the third international match between Italy and Switzerland in 2021 starts on Friday .
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Italy - statistics & current form
Since Roberto Mancini took over the Italian national team in May 2018, the Squadra Azzurra is no longer recognizable. Catenaccio? Long forgotten. Attractive offensive football and a lot of playfulness ensured a month-long run of success. Italy made no fewer than 37 international matches in a row without conceding a single defeat, setting a new world record. The far nicer title than this world record, however, was winning the European Football Championship in 2021.
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The aura of invincibility was lost
However, the Mancini-Elf will no longer expand the world record. In October Italy had to admit defeat in an international match in the Nations League semi-final against Spain for the first time since September 10, 2018. In addition, it was the very first international match for Gianluigi Donnarumma in which he had to reach behind him more than once.
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Under Roberto Mancini, Italy conceded just 26 goals in 44 international matches, making it the best example that a very stable defense can be guaranteed even with an attractive style of play. The Italian national team collected an average of 2.39 points in the last three and a half years under Roberto Mancini.
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Staff worries before the final
The enormous stress of the past weeks and months has made itself felt in many places and almost all teams are struggling with injury problems. This is also the case with Italy, because not only old star Giorgio Chiellini is not available for the final against the Swiss, but also top striker Ciro Immobile. Immobile has been in great shape in the last few weeks, but injured his calf and had to leave the national team early. Torino captain Andrea Belotti is likely to be at the forefront.
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Regardless of the failures, a nation like Italy has enough quality to compensate for these failures. The tried and tested automatisms will not be given, however, and thus one or the other error could creep in again. After all, Italy conceded three of their most recent five international matches. Since Switzerland also has to play to win, the prediction of goals for both teams in Italy vs. Switzerland is definitely a good idea.
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Expected formation of Italy:
Donnarumma - Emerson, Bonucci, Bastoni, Di Lorenzo - Jorginho, Locatelli - Insigne, Barella, Chiesa - Belotti
Switzerland - statistics & current form
The Swiss "Nati”, as it is affectionately known, has been at home in the extended world elite for many years. The Swiss cannot count on outstanding individual players, but always present themselves as a strong collective. Switzerland often serves as a perfect example of integration, because there are a number of "secondos” in the Swiss squad - Swiss in the second generation, so to speak.
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Neo-trainer Yakin with great staff worries
In Italy, the failures of Giorgio Chiellini and Ciro Immobile were mentioned, and Marco Verratti should also be mentioned. Nevertheless, the home side can feel quite happy, because the hospital in Switzerland is much larger. Captain Granit Xhaka has been absent for a long time, striker Haris Seferovic or the outstanding assistant Steven Zuber are also not available.
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At the weekend, the two Gladbach players Nico Elvedi and Breel Embolo were injured within a few minutes. Above all, the Embolo failure is a severe weakening after the Bayern shock was last in excellent shape. Substitute goalkeeper Gregor Kobel also had to cancel his participation and so Yakin had to be inventive. Among other things, he brought the 18-year-old super talent Bryan Okoh from FC Liefering to the national team.
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Failures that certainly hurt Switzerland qualitatively, but a team that achieves success so much through passion and the collective can still do a lot. Finally, there are also positive reports: Denis Zakaria is now in top shape again, Noah Okafor is in excellent shape and Ricardo Rodriguez will be bursting with self-confidence as a young dad.
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After the European Championship, the long-time coach Vladimir Petkovic left the "Nati" and Murat Yakin was introduced as his successor. A figurehead of Swiss football, which, however, polarized again and again. In the first four internationals he remained undefeated (two wins, two draws) and accordingly has a lot of self-confidence.
The preparations for Italy have been meticulous and Yakin is in good spirits that his team has the necessary knowledge to leave the field as winners for the first time after a defeat and a draw in their third duel with Italy. Yakin wants to prevent the goal difference as a decision criterion, so Switzerland is likely to take a certain risk. This creates the possibility that the game will be a little more offensive than usual. Thus, in Italy against Switzerland, the tip on the over 2.5 is also a good idea.
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Expected formation of Switzerland:
Summer - Rodriguez, Akanji, Schär, Mbabu - Zakaria, Freuler - Vargas, Sow, Shaqiri - Okafor
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Will Switzerland score in the 4th away game in a row?
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The Swiss national soccer team would like to qualify for a soccer World Cup for the 5th time in a row. The team of coach Murat Yakin got 4 wins and 2 draws from the first 6 qualifying games for Qatar 2022 like Italy. This means that the Swiss can no longer be pushed out of the top 2. The Swiss, who made a sensational advance to the quarter-finals at the EM 2021, have not lost the last 8 international matches.
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The Yakin-Elf won the last two qualifying games without conceding a goal - at home against Northern Ireland and in Lithuania. The Central Europeans have not conceded a goal in the past 4 games, so the goal suspension has been in place for 416 minutes. Nevertheless, the Swiss are a clear underdog in Italy, with Tipico betting odds of 6.00 for group victory.
3 wins under Yakin
The Swiss stayed in the last 3 away games with 1 win and 2 draws without defeat and only lost one of the last 6 guest games (2 S, 3 U). No goal was conceded in the last two away games in the World Cup qualifying. Switzerland is still unbeaten in the 5 games under Yakin with 3 successes. In 6 of the last 8 away games there were over 2.5 goals.
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Direct duels Italy vs Switzerland
Italy remained in the last 10 direct meetings with 5 wins and 5 draws without defeat. Switzerland has been waiting for a duel victory for 28 years. In Italy, the Confederates have not been able to win for 39 years. The Azzurri have remained in the last 5 home duels with 4 successes in a row without defeat.
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In 7 of the last 10 duels the Swiss could not score, most recently twice in a row. In the last 4 comparisons, the Swiss only managed 1 goal. In the past 8 direct duels, only fewer than 2.5 goals were scored. In 5 of the last 7 matches in Italy, however, both teams came together above this goal value.
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Italy - Switzerland direct comparison
The list of direct duels between the current European champion from Italy and the neighbor from Switzerland is long. In total there are no fewer than 60 games in the database, some of which, however, were more than 100 years ago. However, only the two games from the current year are relevant for the probably decisive duel in the fight for the direct ticket to the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
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Flashback to the past summer - at that time the two teams also opened the European Championship at the Olimpico, Italy's first step on the way to the title ended with a 3-0 victory. At the beginning of September there was then the opportunity to take revenge in the course of the World Cup qualification, when the two teams split goalless. Jorginho failed, among other things, from the penalty spot.
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Betting base forecast & Italy Italy - Switzerland Switzerland tip
More tension is not possible and accordingly the head will also play a role in the top game in Group C. Both teams have the pressure of failure in the back of their minds and know that any mistake could mean a ticket to the World Cup. Nevertheless, no destructive game is expected, because both teams have recently shown that they are willing to take the reins into their own hands.
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KEY-FACTS - ITALY VS. SWITZERLAND TIP
- Italy lost the aura of invincibility at the Nations League Finals
- The first leg ended goalless
- Major personnel problems in Switzerland - Elvedi, Embolo, Kobel, Xhaka, Seferovic, Zuber are canceled
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Another goalless game without many goal scenes is by no means to be expected, especially as the game continues, both teams will push for the decision. A "best shooting” on the last match day (Italy in Northern Ireland, Switzerland at home against Bulgaria) must be avoided. Therefore, the recommendation in the showdown for the World Cup ticket between Italy and Switzerland is based on the tip that both teams will score.
Tips and forecasts
Switzerland could suffer their first defeat under Yakin, and the Italians are currently in excellent shape. We definitely trust the Swiss to have at least one hit, so we see more than 2.5 goals and hits on both sides. The Italians will win the second half.
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Our prediction: Both teams will score - yes
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