Liverpool vs. Burnley tip, prognosis & odds 01/21/2021 - Premier League
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Liverpool - Burnley tip, prognosis & odds 21.01.2021 - Premier League
To speak of a crisis would be a bit presumptuous given the fact that the reigning champions from Liverpool only lost two of 18 games in the entire league season. Nevertheless, the current dent in form of the reigning master cannot be discussed away. Four times in a row the Klopp-Elf was last without a win and fell back to fourth place in the Premier League table.
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On Thursday evening, the Reds will now have another chance to end the series of victories. The Clarets, who are in danger of relegation, are guests on Anfield Road. Although the odds of the best bookmakers are more than clearly pointing towards the defending champion before the kick-off of the game Liverpool against Burnley, the favorites may expect a tough test of patience.
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The reasons for this are more or less obvious, because while the LFC recently failed to score three times in a row, the guests from the county of Lancashire conceded more than one goal in England's top division at the end of November. Close results were regularly on the agenda of coach Sean Dyche's team recently.
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In this regard, we are clearly refraining from predicting a high home win between Liverpool and Burnley and are more likely to base our tip on the fact that the men from Merseyside will again have problems with being their own favorite.
Liverpool - Statistics and current form
Liverpool Football Club just doesn't want to get going this season. While the defending champion was able to hide his own problems so well in the first third of the season that the top position was booked for many match days, the form curve recently showed a steep downward gradient.
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From the last four matches, coach Jürgen Klopp's team scored just three points. None of these four games were won; instead there was a disappointing 1-0 defeat by Southampton and three draws. Even more terrifying is the fact that Mo Salah and his colleagues went without a goal three times in a row.
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Should it not be enough to hit again on Thursday evening, the Reds would only be the eighth reigning champions in English first division history, who do not place the game device in the opponent's case four times in a row.
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Liverpool have been without a win in four games and goalless in three games
In the 18 matches it has played so far, the LFC only managed to score more than two goals five times. Although the Klopp-Elf still scored the most hits of all Premier League clubs, the (statistical) arguments for the upcoming duel on Thursday outweigh the (statistical) arguments that the odds on a maximum of two Reds goals between Liverpool and Burnley are again.
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On the one hand, the Clarets are a very deep and compactly defending opponent; on the other hand, the self-confidence and the form is currently not so pronounced that the fourth in the table could shoot a well-organized relegation candidate from his own stadium. Instead, there is a lot of hard work ahead of the 2019 Champions League winner, who nevertheless wants to maintain the so far flawless home record (seven wins, two draws) and keep up with the top.
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In order to make a suitable Liverpool vs. Burnley tip, it should also be taken into account that the favorite has the next FA Cup board in front of their chest at the weekend. Then it goes against arch rivals Manchester United. Perhaps "Kloppo” will start the rotary press. The world coach of the year has to do without the injured van Dijk, Gomez, Keita, Tsimikas and Jota anyway.
Expected formation of Liverpool:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Fabinho, Robertson; Henderson, Thiago, Jones; Salah, Firmino, Mane
Burnley statistics and current form
Burnley FC had to wait until the ninth matchday before the first victory of the season in the Premier League could finally be celebrated. Only a few days after the long-awaited 1-0 win against Crystal Palace was followed by a bitter 5-0 swat against Manchester City, the Clarets' yield has been absolutely impressive since then.
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From the point of view of coach Sean Dyche's team, only three of the past eight games were lost. In all three bankruptcies, the tenth of the previous year drew the short straw with 0: 1, including the only two competitive games to date in 2021, which were lost at home to Manchester United and West Ham United with the closest of all results. Thanks to at least eleven points collected in the period mentioned, the Weinroten improved to 17th place and are already four points ahead of the first relegation place.
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Burnley: With nine goals to 16 points
The showpiece of the club from the east of the English county of Lancashire is undoubtedly its own defense. With only 22 goals conceded, the Dyche-Elf even has one of the best defensive rows in the Premier League.
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Only four teams have so far been able to beat keeper Nick Pope three or more times. In the last eight encounters, a goal was the highest of emotions. So it's no wonder that we're giving our forecast in this direction between Liverpool and Burnley.
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Another argument seems a bit surreal at first glance, as Liverpool could already be the fifth reigning champions that the Clarets beat in the following season. Manchester United 2009/10, Manchester City 14/15, Leicester 16/17 and Chelsea 2017/18 also bit their teeth against the defensive artists one season after winning the title.
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The team of coach Dyche, which so far managed to get four wins and a total of 16 points with only nine goals scored (!), Had hardly any losses to complain about on Thursday. Although there are one or two question marks, the extremely defensive and deep focus will of course not change.
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Expected formation of Burnley:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Pieters; Brady, Westwood, Brownhill, McNeil; Barnes, Wood
Direct comparison - H2H
For the 85th time, the two clubs face each other in the top English division. The Liverpool lead the direct comparison with 36 wins, although the Clarets have already won 27 matches. Five of the most recent six meetings also ended with LFC success. Even so, the Reds mostly found it difficult. At home, for example, the men from Merseyside only score more than two goals in two of the last ten home games.
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Bet base forecast and Liverpool - Burnley tip
On paper, the starting position before the game between Liverpool and Burnley is clear. The betting odds suggest a sovereign home win for fourth in the table. Even if the higher quality, the home advantage and the table situation would of course indicate a loose success of the Klopp-Elf, there are various reasons that advise against making a corresponding assumption.
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For example, the LFC has been without a win for four Premier League games. Most recently, the Reds even failed to score their own three times in a row. The form is therefore not particularly good and the pressure is not reduced due to the broad competition in the top field of the Premier League.
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Because the Clarets are an opponent who has his strength on the defensive, conceded only 22 goals this season and only lost three of the last eight league games, we expect an unpleasant task for the Klopp-Elf.
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The Weinroten will act from a defensive basic order and make life difficult for the LFC offensive. Since the end of November, keeper Pope has never had to reach behind him more than once in eight matches.
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We therefore decide between Liverpool and Burnley for the tip that the reigning champions score a maximum of two goals. At the tested bookmaker Bet365, we get a 1.80 at the top, which is worth a stake of six units. In addition, we refer to the betting base odds comparison and our own advisor area, where you can read explanations and assistance on the subject of betting.
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