Manchester City vs. Everton: Tips, prognosis & odds - 23.05.2021 - GERMANY: Premier League
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Manchester City vs. Everton: Tips, prognosis & odds - 23.05.2021 - GERMANY: Premier League
The championship question was resolved early on and the three relegated players were confirmed earlier than ever in Premier League history. Nevertheless, a very exciting finish is guaranteed this weekend, because the international starting positions are highly competitive. On Sunday at 5 p.m., all games will kick off at the same time, with champions Manchester City facing Everton.
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For Pep Guardiola's Skyblues, the last league game of the season is also the dress rehearsal for the Champions League final on the following weekend. The champions are considered a clear favorite, but the game will by no means be a sure-fire success for the home side. The guests from Merseyside are still fighting for qualification for Europe and urgently need to score.
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For the double chance X2 at Manchester City vs. Everton, lucrative betting odds of up to 2.90 are offered, which are also our value tip. City has undoubtedly the much greater quality, but in certain situations will not want to take any risk of unnecessary injury with regard to the big CL final.
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Manchester City stats & current form
Pep Guardiola described the title win in the domestic championship as "the most important title". With a twelve-point lead over city rivals Manchester United, this triumph was extremely impressive. The Skyblues could not be stopped after a relatively weak start to the season and dominated the league at will.
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Stronger abroad than at home
Only in the last few weeks the Guardiola-Elf began to stumble a little. Due to the comfortable starting situation and the focus on the premier class, this was not necessarily a surprise. It is worth mentioning, however, that Manchester City conceded four of the six defeats of the season at their Etihad Stadium.
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In a foreign country, however, Manchester City has been hard to beat in recent weeks. The 4-3 win on Matchday 36 at Newcastle United was the twelfth away win in a row - a Premier League record. During the week, this impressive series tore apart despite a 2-0 lead against Brighton & Hove Albion (2: 3). Allerdings had to act outnumbered Manchester City from minute ten.
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Farewell game for Kun Aguero
The last home game of the season should finally be attended by spectators again and they will see the last appearance of club legend Sergio Kun Agüero at the Etihad Stadium. The Argentine has scored an incredible 182 Premier League goals for the Skyblues (the Argentine needed an average of 104 minutes per goal). Guardiola will pay his last respects in the form of a bet and accordingly the Bet365 app only has odds of 1.95 for an Agüero hit.
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The master will certainly not give away the game. History speaks for a bet on the home side, because Pep Guardiola won all of his four games on the last day of the game. Overall, Manchester City lost only once in the last twelve years on Matchday 38 (9-2-1 record). Before the game Manchester City vs. Everton, odds of a maximum of 1.47 are offered when betting on the home side.
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Expected formation of Manchester City:
Ederson - Zinchenko, Stones, Ake, Walker - Gündogan, Rodri, De Bruyne - Foden, Agüero, Mahrez
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Everton Statistics & Current Form
The Toffees with star coach Carlo Ancelotti were even ahead of their direct local rivals Liverpool for a long time this season. While the Reds have the renewed CL participation in their own hands on the last day of the match, the Toffees are dependent on support in the fight for qualification for the newly created UEFA Conference League.
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Victory and defeat alternate
However, according to the series of the last games, the end of the season at the English champions will be a defeat. The last two victories were followed by a defeat in the game. During the week, Everton beat the Wolves 1-0 thanks to a goal from Richarlison.
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This puts Everton in eighth place in the table before the last 90 minutes of the 2020/21 season. Seventh place means qualification for Europe, the gap to Spurs is "only” 17 goals. However, Everton are also feeling the breath of Arsenal (one point ahead). In addition, the Gunners have the easiest game in front of the chest (against Brighton), while the Spurs (against Leicester) and Everton face very difficult tasks.
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Eleven away wins - club record in the PL for the Toffees
However, there are certainly less favorable times to meet the Citizens of Pep Guardiola. For City, the game has little sporting relevance and serves as preparation for the big Champions League final.
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In addition, Everton can start the journey to the Etihad Stadium with a big chest. In the guest table, the toffees are in fourth place. Eleven of the 18 away games were won, which is a club record in the Premier League. In 1969/70 and 1984/85 (when Everton became champions) twelve away wins could be celebrated.
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Anyone who believes that the Ancelotti team will set this historic record can also look forward to a high profit. The Unibet app shows odds of 7.00 between Manchester City and Everton for this forecast.
Expected formation of Everton:
Pickford - Digne, Keane, Mina, Godfrey - Sigurdsson, Doucoure, Allan, Coleman - Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin
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Direct comparison / H2H
In the last six Premier League games between Manchester City and Everton, the tip on the Citizens has always been crowned with success. This dominance against the Toffees did not exist in previous years, because before these six wins, the Skyblues needed 21 Premier League games to celebrate six times (five draws, ten defeats).
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For Everton it is the second longest losing streak in PL history. Only against City’s city rival Manchester United was there a long series of bankruptcies between 1999 and 2004 (nine defeats).
Betting base forecast & Manchester City - Everton tip
Pep Guardiola will have to master a difficult balancing act on the last day of the match. After all, his stars should stay in rhythm, but injuries should be avoided as far as possible in view of the final in Porto against Chelsea.
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A little rotation is certainly appropriate and the last "few percent" commitment and will can understandably be missing. Value is therefore not to be found at Manchester City vs. Everton in the tip on the home win with odds of less than 1.50.
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The champions' last games have also shown that they are working a little more negligently on the defensive (24 goals conceded in 34 games, eight goals conceded in three games). With Richarlison & Calvert-Lewin, Everton has a lot of quality to offer on the offensive and therefore in the game Manchester City vs. Everton, the tip on goals of both teams is recommended.
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For their part, the Skyblues will do everything in their power to ensure that Sergio Agüero scores again in his last league game for Manchester City. Betting odds of 1.85 for the "Both to Score" appear surprisingly high. And Everton has to play to win in the fight for Europe, so there should be chances on both sides that will also be converted into goals.
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