Midtjylland vs. Aarhus: Tips, prognosis & odds 24.05.2021 - Superliga Championship Group
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Midtjylland vs. Aarhus: Tips, prognosis & odds 24.05.2021 - Superliga Championship Group
Midtjylland vs. Aarhus: Tips, Prediction & Odds - 05/24/2021 - DENMARK: Superliga Championship Group
For a long time, everything in the Danish Super League indicated that FC Midtjylland could successfully defend its title. But in the last three games the champions of last season stumbled and had to give up the championship lead on the last day of the game and is now in the "hunter role". For the title again, a home win must be achieved in the final game - on Monday at 5 p.m. Midtjylland and Aarhus will face each other.
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The home side of head coach Brian Priske recently remained without a win three times in a row and slipped into a crisis at the worst possible time. Nonetheless, the title contender is the clear favorite on Monday. In the Interwetten app you can find odds of 1.50 for the home win between Midtjylland and Aarhus.
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This clear favorite role is understandable in that the game only has statistical value for the guests from Aarhus. The team of coach David Nielsen is cemented in fourth place in the table and already has the ticket for the newly created UEFA Conference League in its pocket.
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Midtjylland - Statistics & current form
In many places in football there is an opinion that success cannot be planned. Midtjylland FC is the opposite of this statement, as the club, like Brentford FC, who are in the final for promotion to the PL, is in the hands of Matthew Benham. Benham comes from baseball and applied the "moneyball principle” to the round leather and has long-term success with it.
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Three championship titles were planned on the drawing board
Data is the club's greatest asset and scouting is very important so that the perfect team is put together. It doesn't have to be the best players, but the right ones. In 2014/15, 2017/18 and last season, the club from the 50,000-inhabitant city of Herning was the measure of all things in Denmark.
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The defending champion started as a hunter in the current championship round and was two points behind Brondby IF after the regular round. With a perfect start to the decisive phase (three wins, one draw), the Priske-Elf returned to first place and had four points ahead after 28 of 32 match days.
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Outstanding home record
A 1: 3 away defeat in a direct duel with Brondby (despite leading) caused nerves to flutter. This was followed by a draw against Randers and a defeat against Copenhagen (again despite the lead). This meant that the lead in the standings was playful and before the last match day the (still) champion is dependent on the help of a shooter.
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At least the prospects of fulfilling your own tasks are very good. In the season so far, the Priske-Elf celebrated eleven wins, one draw and only two defeats in 15 home games. Ex-Mainz-based Jonas Lössl only had to concede seven goals. Therefore, a value tip between Midtjylland and Aarhus is the prognosis that not both teams will score. Odds of over 2.00 for this bet definitely seem a bit too high.
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Expected formation of Midtjylland:
Lössl - Andersson, Scholz, Sviatchenko, Ailton - Evander, Onyeka - Mabil, Dreyer, Sisto - Kaba
Aarhus - statistics & current form
The club from the second largest Danish city has already won five championships, but in the recent past "AGF” has been far from such successes. In the meantime, only the second division was home to the Aarhus GF. Since the 2015/16 season, however, the club has been back in the super league. Last season, the largely unknown team took third place.
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Second weakest team in the championship round
This third place in the table was occupied by the Nielsen team after the regular season of the current season. But in the current championship round, Aarhus is the big disappointment. With ten points from nine games, Aarhus is only in fifth of six places in the "championship round table”.
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After the 2-1 loss to Brondby last Thursday, it is clear that Aarhus will end the season in fourth place. Fortunately, the lead over Nordsjaellend in the regular season was big enough to defend the international starting position. In contrast to the Austrian Bundesliga, the points in Denmark were not halved after the regular season.
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Tariffs conceded for Aarhus in the championship round
The main reason for the significant drop in performance is the lost stability on the defensive. In 22 games in the regular season, Aarhus conceded only 22 goals. Goalkeeper Kamil Grabara (loan from Liverpool) has already had to pull behind him 16 times in the nine previous championship round games.
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The average of one goal conceded per game has thus almost doubled and accordingly bets on an over 2.5 have recently been offered. This has been the case in six of the last nine games. On Monday, Midtjylland and Aarhus will only offer betting odds of 1.65-1.70 for this tip.
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Expected formation of Aarhus:
Grabara - Höjer, Juelsgaard, Hausner, Diks - Olsen, Poulsen, Blume - Thorsteiner, Ammitzböll, Links
Direct comparison / H2H
In times of ghost games, the home advantage is no longer a big issue anyway, this becomes clear in this duel. In the first three games of the season between Midtjylland and Aarhus, the tip on the respective guest was always the right choice.
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After the two games ended with only one goal difference in the regular season, Midtjylland achieved a clear 4-1 win at Ceres Park in the last game almost five weeks ago. In contrast to the three previous season games, fans will be allowed in the MCH Arena on Monday.
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Bet base forecast & Denmark Midtjylland - Aarhus Denmark tip
Do homework and then hope - that is the motto of FC Midtjylland, who have to rely on shooting help before the last matchday in order to be able to call themselves Danish champions again. The homework on Monday between Midtjylland and Aarhus means a successful tip for the home win.
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Despite the streak of three games without a win (one draw, two defeats), there are no great doubts that the Priske-Elf will achieve this. With Aarhus, a poorly formed team comes to the MCH arena, for which the final game is also not of great sporting value.
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In addition, the guests have to do without top scorer Patrick Mortensen (15 goals this season). A certain drop in tension is to be expected among the guests and therefore in the duel Midtjylland and Aarhus not only the prognosis for the home win is recommended, but also for the bet half-time / final score 1/1. The chances that the home side will steer the game in their direction early on is given relatively high. Six units are recommended as a stake for this bet.
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