Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten -14.05.2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League
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Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten -14.05.2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League
Due to the FA Cup final this weekend, the 36th matchday in the English football upper house has been dragged out. This was already opened on Tuesday and the championship of the Guardiola team was finally fixed. The Skyblues profited from a defeat of the city rival and thus advanced to the "couch master". On Friday, the first appearance after a fixed title win is on the program - in the north of England Newcastle and Manchester City face each other.
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The signs in this duel are relatively clear and, unsurprisingly, very low odds are offered in the game Newcastle against Manchester City for the tip on the guests. In the Interwetten app you can still find the best odds on the favorite victory with a 1.33.
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However, there is a warning to be issued here, because the hosts present themselves from their best side in the end and can also play without great pressure. Both teams have achieved the goals of the season and an entertaining game could develop. The game in St. James Park starts on Friday at 9 p.m.
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Newcastle stats & current form
A truly not easy 2020/21 season is drawing to a close for the Magpies from Newcastle. In the end, Steve Bruce's team managed to stay in the league quite confidently, although this is also due to the fact that the three relegated teams were inferior for long stretches of the season.
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Strong results despite tough opponents
Newcastle United had several negative experiences after the broken sale, the long-term failures of Lascelles and Saint-Maximin due to the aftermath of an infection, Fulham's short-term catch-up and a difficult program in the season end, which took away the fans of any confidence.
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The Bruce-Elf was able to defy the resistance and presented itself in surprisingly strong shape, especially in the last few weeks. Tottenham, Burnley, West Ham, Liverpool, Arsenal and Leicester were the last six opponents in the league, with Newcastle only defeated Arsenal and celebrated three wins.
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Last weekend, CL aspirant Leicester City was deservedly defeated 4-2. Joe Willock (fifth goal of the season) and top scorer Callum Wilson (twelve goals) ensured the well-deserved success.
Gates are guaranteed in St. James Park
Neither the victory nor the flood of goals was to be expected, because in the course of the season so far in games with Magpies participation, the home games are usually characterized by many goals. While six of the 18 games away ended with an over 2.5, at home St. James Park it is eleven of 17 games (65 percent, second highest value).
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Both teams scored 13 of the 17 home games, which is the clear top figure this season. Given the lack of pressure on either side, between Newcastle and Manchester City, predicting goals for both teams with these stats is certainly a good option.
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However, the home side have to do without the aforementioned top scorer Callum Wilson due to thigh problems. Ex-Hoffenheim Joelinton will take his place on the offensive.
Expected formation of Newcastle:
Dubravka - Ritchie, Krafth, Dummett, Fernandez, Murphy - Willock, Shelvey - Almiron - Joelinton, Saint-Maximin
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Manchester City stats & current form
A few days ago Pep Guardiola described the championship in the English Premier League as the most important title. The seventh title win in City history became a reality thanks to a slip of the hated city rivals Manchester United. After the weakest start to the season in Guardiola's coaching career, the team picked up speed as the season continued and was unstoppable.
There were four of the five defeats of the season at home
Somewhat surprising is the fact that Manchester City suffered four of their five defeats this season at their home Etihad Stadium. The only away game that was lost was the appearance at Tottenham Hotspurs on November 21st. Otherwise, the away record is almost flawless with 13 wins and three draws.
After the exhausting last few weeks, a rotation can be expected so that star players like Kevin de Bruyne & Co. can recharge their batteries. However, Guardiola has to find a good balance between regeneration and competition practice. Finally, on May 29, the Champions League final is on the program - and despite Guardiola's statement, this is the most important title in club football.
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There are also two outstanding bills to be settled with Thomas Tuchel and Chelsea. In both the FA Cup semi-finals and last weekend, City lost out to the Blues.
Accurate without number nine
Critics would claim that Manchester City football is boring or drowsy because it is quite simply close to perfection. The Skyblues are extremely varied and extremely difficult to calculate. This proves the fact that the 72 goals of the season were scored by 16 different players. Guardiola does not need an exceptional talent, as he had at Barcelona with Lionel Messi, but City works especially as a team and unit.
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The pass security of his team is unique in European football and the belief in their own strength ensures that the Citizens always keep their heads in the game, even if they fall behind. In the crunch time there is hardly any remedy against the sky blues.
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But the game in St. James Park cannot be described as crunch time, so there could be spaces / opportunities for the underdog. Despite clear differences in quality, the prognosis of the double chance 1X for Newcastle vs. Manchester City should be taken into account due to the good Magpies shape.
Expected formation of Manchester City:
Ederson - Zinchenko, Garcia, Dias, Walker - Rodri, Gündogan, Bernardo Silva - Foden, Agüero, Mahrez
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Direct comparison / H2H
Statistics should always be viewed with caution. In the English upper house of football, Manchester City have already made 73 appearances at St. James Park, but could only win 16 games. The Skyblues had to travel home no less than 41 times without anything in their luggage.
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However, this historical comparison in no way reflects the current balance of power, although the Citizens do not necessarily like to travel to the north of England. In the last four Premier League appearances, there was only one victory. In the home games, however, City is not naked and recently celebrated twelve PL home wins in a row against the Magpies. The first leg of the current season took place on Boxing Day, and the Guardiola kickers celebrated a 2-0 victory.
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Betting base forecast & Newcastle - Manchester City tip
Bayern (6: 0 against Gladbach) and Inter Milan (5: 1 against Sampdoria) presented themselves in excellent shape at the first appearance after a fixed championship and celebrated a true shooting festival. Can the Skyblues do this too? At least in the best betting apps at Newcastle vs. Manchester City, betting odds of just over 1.80 can be found for the prediction of a clear guest win.
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However, it should not be disregarded that the hosts convinced themselves recently and showed themselves to be quite agreeable, especially in the offensive game. The failure of top scorer Callum Wilson does not change that.
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Due to the strong Newcastle shape and one or the other change in City, there should be gaps for the Magpies. City will, however, prepare the opponent several times and then come up with scoring opportunities themselves.
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Therefore, in the duel Newcastle vs. Manchester City, the tip on over 3.5 appears to be the best choice. The sporting relevance is manageable for both teams and therefore a little more risk than usual can be taken.
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