Switzerland vs. Spain: tips, prognosis & odds - 07/02/2021 - EUROPE: European Championship - final round 2021
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Switzerland vs. Spain: tips, prognosis & odds - 07/02/2021 - EUROPE: European Championship - final round 2021
Will Switzerland and Spain provide another spectacle?
The first quarter-finals at the 2021 European Championship are contested by the two teams, which caused massive spectacles in their round of 16. We are of course talking about Switzerland and Spain. While the Iberians made life unnecessarily difficult for themselves against Croatia despite a 3-1 lead and finally got the upper hand in extra time, the "Nati" convinced with incredible morale and great nerves in the penalty shoot-out against France.
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Despite the huge sensation against the world champions, Switzerland remains an outsider against Spain according to the odds. On the one hand, this is due to the difference in quality between the two teams on paper; on the other hand, certainly also because the "Furia Roja" only lost one of the last 22 direct duels against the Alpine Republicans.
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Because the two teams are facing each other for the first time in a European Championship finals, corresponding results from the past between Switzerland and Spain must be viewed with caution anyway with regard to a prediction of the game outcome. In addition, it became apparent in the European Championship round of 16 that supposedly reliable tips on the success of the favorite after regular time were only extremely rarely a good idea.
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Not least because of this, we are focusing on the number of goals in the said first quarter-final game and, also based on the impressions from the tournament so far, we can well imagine that the fans present in Saint Petersburg, Russia, will see one or the other goal. Attractive odds on goals scored on both sides or over-goals can be alluded to using the Bildbet app, for example.
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Switzerland - statistics & current form
The relationship between Switzerland and their national team has been considered "strained" for some time. Again and again, the professionals are accused of showing off and arrogance. Coach Petkovic is consistently criticized and the scandal of the hairdresser who was flown in before the second group game, which was dealt with extremely hatefully by the national press, made almost exclusively negative headlines at home.
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It was all the more surprising that the first step towards reconciliation in the form of the outstanding performance in the round of 16 against France came from the "Nati" of all people. In the run-up to the game against the world champion, no one would have expected the underdog to do anything. After the many doubters saw themselves confirmed at the score of 3: 1 for "Les Bleus", the match tipped over and finally came to a better end for the Swiss, who converted all five shots on penalties, while keeper Yann Sommer took the last penalty from Kylian Mbappé held.
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Will Switzerland make it through the quarter-finals for the first time in history?
For the first time since 1954, the national soccer team from the Alpine republic made it back into the last eight of a major tournament. If it is up to the protégés of coach Petkovic, it should not end there. Despite the momentum, a tip on the underdog in the quarter-finals between Switzerland and Spain is associated with enormous risk.
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On the one hand, because the "Nati" have always lost their quarter-finals in the previous three attempts (most recently in 1954), but on the other hand, because it was not uncommon in the past that such a highlight in the course of a tournament did not always lead to a positive continuation.
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Can the outsider compensate for the Xhaka failure?
The fact is that Manuel Akanji, Haris Seferovic and Co. have to add at least a bit more defensively in order not to concede three goals again. Incidentally, this would almost be synonymous with safe elimination, because the Swiss scored three or more goals in three consecutive international matches in 2017.
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Finally, there is a little statistical encouragement, because of the past twelve tournament games at World Cup or European Championship finals, the Petkovic team only lost two (three draws, seven draws). Since 2014, the white-reds have only missed four matches in major events. To make matters worse, captain Granit Xhaka, one of the most important players, has to watch because of his second yellow card.
Expected formation of Switzerland:
Summer - Elvedi, Akanji, Rodriguez - Zuber, Zakaria, Freuler, Shaqiri, Mbabu - Seferovic, Embolo
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Spain - statistics & current form
The Spanish national team also had to go the full distance of 120 minutes in their round of 16. Despite a comfortable 3-1 lead against the Croatians shortly before the end, the Iberians conceded two late goals against the vice world champions and were thus forced to an unnecessary extra shift. Ultimately, however, coach Luis Enrique's team had more stamina and prevailed 5-3 after extra time.
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After two disappointing appearances on the first two match days of the group stage, the Iberians knew how to convince offensively at least twice in a row. Ten goals scored underline this thesis. As the first team in the history of the European Championship, the "Furia Roja" managed to score five goals in two consecutive matches. Among other things, responsible for this is Alvaro Morata, much scolded at home, who has now scored five European Championship goals in the course of his career and is the Spaniard's top scorer together with Fernando Torres.
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Spain with a good record at the European Championship finals
Similar to the upcoming opponent, between Switzerland and Spain, however, it must be taken into account for the forecast that the defensive of the former world and European champions remains a construction site. Without Sergio Ramos, the defense center sometimes looks a bit immature. Individual mistakes such as the own goal by keeper Unai Simon do not necessarily provide the necessary stability.
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Although the Iberians only lost one of the last eight knockout games at European Championships and generally only suffered two defeats in retrospect on the last 20 European Championship games, we would put the odds on a success of the supposed favorite after the regular before Switzerland's quarter-finals against Spain Treat playtime rather negligently. The team seems clearly improved compared to the first matches, but we dare to doubt whether they can fight a second time in a row against any resistance that may arise.
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In terms of personnel, the coach will probably rely on the same players as in the success against the Croatians. Sarabia and Ferran Torres got stuck on the offensive, although Oyarzabal and Dani Olmo were able to set good accents after their substitution against a tired vice world champion. Jordi Alba could return to the team for the ailing Jose Luis Gaya. The title contender does not have to cope with any suspensions.
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Expected formation of Spain:
Simon - Alba, Garcia, Laporte, Azpilicueta - Busquets, Pedri, Koke - Torres, Morata, Sarabia
Switzerland - Spain: Direct Comparison / H2H
For the first time, the two national teams face each other in a European Championship match on Friday evening. The previous three meetings in the context of major tournaments go back to world championships.
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The Spaniards had the upper hand in the first two duels, while Switzerland won their last encounter at the 2010 World Cup with 1-0. At the same time, this victory was also the only one for the "Nati” in the past 22 matches against the "Furia Roja”, who had to be satisfied with a draw in two of the last three games.
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Betting base forecast & Switzerland Switzerland - Spain Spain tip
We can look forward to an offensive quarter-finals early on Friday evening in Saint Petersburg. Attractive betting odds are offered between Switzerland and Spain so that the fans present get to see one or the other goal. We cannot fully understand that the licensed providers of sports betting in Germany tend to assume a match with few hits.
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The Iberians scored a total of ten goals in the last two matches and the "Nati" also knew how to convince offensively with six goals. It can justifiably be said that both teams have their strengths in the game and like to neglect the defensive. Consequently, a bet on over 2.5 is also conceivable.
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We suspect an even more exciting value in the duel between Switzerland and Spain in the tip on both-sided goals. Via the Unibet app we receive a lucrative 1.92 for the bet on "both meet”. It makes sense to place six units.
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However, we would advise against predicting the Spanish victory after regular time; The Enrique-Elf presented itself too fragile and unstable over long phases of this European championship. The bottom line is that we would not rule out the underdog's semi-finals, even though the failure of Granit Xhaka in particular weighs heavily.
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